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Dawg Stats Blitz

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Welcome to the Dawg Stats Stats Blitz…. I just made that up. But, I wanted to give you some numbers to chew on maybe while you watch the games tomorrow. While this weekend doesn’t have a lot of SEC drama, there are some interesting trends that will be interesting to see if they continue.

Tennessee and Florida are both running the ball close 60% rate with only Arkansas running at a higher percentage of plays. Both Vols and Gators have rush success rates above 50%. But in this matchup, Tennessee is third in league only allowing 31% success on running plays. Florida is 12th in the metric. Can the Volunteers stop the Gators rushing attack and keep it competitive or even win?

On the flip side, Mississippi State is throwing it 78% of offensive play and LSU is second in league allowing just a 27% success on passes. Worth noting, Derek Stingley is reported to out for the game. The Bulldogs don’t stretch the field with their brand of passes, but feels like an LSU advantage.

For Georgia, another chance to improve the offense. Last year through the Florida game, UGA had a 41% success on offense. Once Daniels came in, they had a 46% success rate. That number should get close to 50% for the season. UGA is mid SEC with a 44% success rate but getting a Vanderbilt defense which is allowing 6.4 yards per play and 47% success rate should boost that and offensive confidence.

Here is one that I haven’t written much about. Standard down versus passing down is simply play percentage where an offense is “behind the chains – passing down”. Alabama led the conference last year and held offenses to passing downs on 60% of plays. This season is complete 180 on this stat. Opposing offenses are running standard down plays 70% of the snaps and passing downs are only 30%. This is 13th in SEC.

With all that, here are a bunch of graphs for your statistical enjoyment. Enjoy the games and SIC EM!!!

Big shoutout to the guys at collegefootball.com for letting me share these stats with you guys

Dawgs look to improve on offense and continue elite defensive play
These are not opponent adjusted, but 4 SEC Teams in Net YPP and Alabama and Florida aren’t in it
50% Success Rate on Offense is a goal for a playoff team. Sub 40% on defense is stout
Florida is near top of SEC in Rush Success Rate with the play of Emory Jones. UGA unusually near bottom
A&M leads nation in Passing Success Rate allowed. UGA’s 30% is good for 10th in FBS
Seeing Bama and Vandy together is ....something on Passing Down Rate for opposing offenses.