clock menu more-arrow no yes

Filed under:

#Chubb4Heisman Episode 4

New, 30 comments

Dear Heisman Voters: Here's why you should Vote Chubb4Heisman in 2015

Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports

After suggestion from the community, we're going to mix things up a little this week.  Of course, we will compare Chubb's performance to Walkers and take a look at the week to week change in the Heisman Odds.  We will also compare statistics between all of the top 5 Running backs, which happens to be LSU's Fournette, Alabama's Derrick Henry (just for grins) and our own Nick Chubb.  From the Facebook side of Dawg Sports, we can now tell you Chubb stands for:  Can Help Uga Beat Bama.

As of this past Saturday, Nick Chubb has played in 17 games for UGA.  After 17 games, the respective statistics are:

Chubb

Walker

Delta

Carries

292

483

-191

Total Yards

2159

2684

-525

Average Yards/Carry

7.39

5.56

1.84

Longest Run

83

76

7

Total Touchdowns

20

21

-1

Herschel still has more carries and more total yards after 17 games, but Chubb's Average Per Carry and longest run are both still higher than Walker's.  After scoring 2 touch downs Saturday, Chubb still trails Walker by 1 in total touchdowns.

As things are, of the 5 available measures, three go to Walker and two go to Chubb.

Looking at the current slate of possible Heisman Winners, last week's Odds had your top five as:

1.       Leonard Fournette, RB LSU +550

2.       Nick Chubb, RB UGA +750

3.       Trevone Boykin, QB TCU +850

4.       Seth Russell, QB Baylor +1000

5.       Ezekiel Elliot, QB Ohio State +1000

6.       Derrick Henry, RB Alabama +1000

7.       Cody Kessler, QB USC +1000

The updated odds as of Tuesday evening are now:

1.       Leonard Fournette, RB LSU +150

2.       Nick Chubb, RB UGA +700

3.       Trevone Boykin, QB TCU +700

4.       Seth Russell, QB Baylor 800

5.       Ezekiel Elliot, QB Ohio State +1200

6.       Cody Kessler, QB USC+1200

In last week's numbers, I had Jacoby Brissette incorrectly listed when it should have been Trevone Boykin (which explains a lot.)  So we have no change in the overall listing for the top 5 (including ties.)  What we have is improvement in the odds for all players except Alabama RB Derrick Henry who dropped from +1000 to +2000.  According to AL.com, Henry's stat line last week was limited because Saban decided to rest him.  He reportedly was suffering from tonsillitis early in the week and Saban wanted to give him limited duty so he'd be 100% for this Saturday's contest.

The 2015 stat lines for the top 3 Running Backs are:

2015

Tot Att

Tot Yds

Tot Ave

Tot Long

Tot TD

Chubb

74

636

8.5946

68

6

Fournette

75

647

8.6267

71

8

Henry

74

473

6.3919

31

8

Based on statistics alone, Chubb & Fournette are statistically identical, but Fournette has a slight edge.  However, LSU's first game of the season was cancelled, so he achieved these statistics in only 3 games to Chubb's 4 games.  On the other hand, Fournette is not sharing rock carrying duties the way Chubb is.  I figure those two factors cancel each other out.  Chubb now has 12 games in which he ran for over 100 yards in the last two seasons to Fournette's 8.

Statistically, it is almost a dead heat between Nick Chubb & Leonard Fournette and they are the top two candidates according to the oddsmakers in Vegas.  Call me a homer if you like, but, all things considered, Nick Chubb should win the 2015 Heisman Trophy.

We'll be back again next week to see where the bodies lie after week 5.  Until then y'all keep praying for Chubb and ....


Go Dawgs!!

*Dear Lord, We ask in earnest request that you have a hedge of protection over Nick Chubb to maintain his health, add strength to his legs, and quickness to his feet. So that he might lead our Glorious Dawgs to extraordinary feats. Deliver Chubb to a Heisman crown and make the Dawg Nation, National Championship bound. And all the people of this Church say  "Go Dawgs!!"