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5 Things To Look For Versus South Carolina

I really struggled with this week's 5 things. Mainly because I kept remembering the old adage an experienced trial lawyer quoted to me soon after I began practicing law: "You've never as good as your wins or as bad as your losses." That saying applies in football as well. Eventually, Matt Stafford will throw an interception. Our secondary will one day get burned. The question is will it be this week, and how will we respond? And on the flip side, how much did South Carolina learn from playing a half on the brink against Louisiana-Lafayette? So, take these predictions with the understanding that this one really could go either way. But if you're going to have Stephen Garcia hold a car key to my head, I'd say you'll see:

1)Blake Mitchell, for better or worse- He's starting, no matter how cheeky Spurrier wants to be about it. The Dancin' Chicken is Spurrier's best bet. He may make maddening gaffs in the red zone and he may get his skinny, cheapshot taking neck wrung, but he's the best Spurrier's got right now. The big question will be how rusty he looks in his first live fire action of the season and how he responds if we are able to apply pressure early and often to disrupt Spurrier's timing-dependent passing game.

Last week I pointed out that when the only tool you have is a hammer, everything looks like a nail. This week I'd like to point out that when the only quarterback you have is a Jar Jar Binks impersonator, I think you're just pretty much screwed.

2)Cory Boyd- As I noted yesterday, I think Mike Gundy's Oklahoma State team made a mistake by not lining up and running right at our young defense. Spurrier won't make the same mistake. Cory Boyd is the type of tailback who, in addition to dropping illicit narcotic references on national television, can turn a 2 yard hole into a 4 yard gain. South Carolina is dealing with the same growing pains on the OL that we are. They will also respond by running the football with Boyd and Mike Davis. This sets up a Pat Dye style battle to see who is "man enough" to stop the other's rushing attack. There will be some misdirection aimed at getting our young guys to overpursue. There may even be some plays with Boyd or Davis taking direct snaps.

3)Running yards . . .- Louisiana-Lafayette gave Spurrier's defense fits with a spread option-ish attack in their first game of the year. I implied before the season that the Gamecocks would have trouble reaching the next level in the SEC if they can't play better run defense. The screens and quick passes that Mike Bobo called against Oklahoma State both helped our young offensive line do some things right and gain some confidence. Those plays were also straight from the Steve Spurrier school of frustrating offensive game plans, circa Jacksonville 1995. South Carolina will play press coverage to stop the screen game, and when they do . . .

4)Play action passing will pay dividends. South Carolina's secondary is young, hungry and not captained by Ko Simpson or Dunta Robinson. Anyone who remembers recent UGA/South Carolina tilts can tell you that bodes well for Matt Stafford. Sean Bailey is a deep threat that simply cannot be ignored, and he (or Kenneth Harris, Demiko Goodman or Kris Durham) will score on one "hidden ball" play action pass.

5)UGA 29, USC 20. But the game will not be as close as the score indicates. South Carolina will score late to make it another moral victory for the team that is perpetually on the verge of relevance in the SEC East race, and coached by a man who was a legend in another time and place.

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I hate to be nitpicky, pardner . . .
. . . but, if I'm not, someone else will be.

Alas, the perennial mid-'90s thumping administered to the 'Dawgs by the Gators in 1995 did not take place in Jacksonville, but between the hedges.

After a while, they all start to run together, but, for the record, we lost 52-14 in Gainesville in 1994, 52-17 in Athens in 1995, and 47-7 in Jacksonville in 1996.

The latter was the year in which Florida won the national title. Say, does anyone remember how Mike Bobo and the Bulldogs fared against the defending national champs in Jacksonville the following year?

by T Kyle King on Sep 5, 2007 8:28 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Kyle, feel free to pick . . .
You're absolutely right. And they do start to run together. I would probably have remembered that had I been in Sanford that day rather than (mercifully) somewhere else. +2, Kyle.

by MaconDawg on Sep 6, 2007 9:11 AM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

the Dawgs' secondary
...will make an impact in this one.  I agree 100% that SC will try to run straight at us with Boyd and company, but I don't really think they'll be that successful.  I think our D's #1 priority will be limiting Boyd'S effectiveness, and our speedy linebackers will probably do a good job of that.  

That will force Blake Mitchell to be "the guy" for SC.  If history truly does repeat itself, then the Dawgs will be fine.  I think we'll see a lot of man coverage with our corners, and it'll be interesting to see how they fare.  

by SoccerDawg on Sep 6, 2007 12:02 AM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

South Carolina...
...used to do that WR screen stuff to us also with that white kid/Swiss Army Utility receiver guy they used to have in the early 2000s and get 5-7 yards a pop.

by fotodog on Sep 6, 2007 1:31 AM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

You talking about Ryan Brewer?
That kid was all guts, held together by duct tape and want-to.

Glad he's gone.

by Hobnail Boot on Sep 6, 2007 9:09 AM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Way to go Macon
You have blown our cover on the "hidden ball" play.  We only get to use it once per year and now you have  given it away ... or did someone pay you for this information????
Hamp@HunkerDownDawg "We are such stuff as dreams are made of, and our little life is rounded in a sleep." W.S.

by Hamp at HunkerDownDawg on Sep 6, 2007 8:45 AM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Sadly that's not all Hamp . . .
The Commie Chickens also paid me to tell them that when we've got 3rd and goal inside their 5, the ball is going to Brannen Southerland. I feel like such a traitor.

by MaconDawg on Sep 6, 2007 9:16 AM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Some quick comments...
  1. I think that if the Dawgs get pressure on Blake, then he will make mistakes.  That said, if the o-line can play decently (which they did against UL-L), then Blake may be ok.  I've heard from people who actually play close attention to things like o-line play that this starting five is farther along than they were last year.  But who knows.
  2. Jasper Brinkley was injured for a good portion of the game and there was an undersized linebacker (Shackleford) in the middle.  I don't know, but this may have been a cause of the UL-L comeback  Melvin Ingram is much bigger and will be the backup middle linebacker.  Stoney Woodson was starting at safety, and he is a cornerback.  Now two real safeties, Darian Stewart and Brandon Issac, will be in the defensive backfield.
  3. The mood on Saturday night and Sunday in Columbia wasn't one of disappointment, it was one of anger--myself included.  In what should have been a dominating performance for a team that had a chance of winning the SEC east, the fans were rewarded with "more of the same."  Basically, I wanted the Gamecocks to look how the Dawgs did in their opener and the Dawgs to look like the Gamecocks did in their opener.  But it didn't happen that way, and I'm not expecting the Gamecocks to win between the hedges.
One more thing...Syvelle Newton was Ryan Brewer with an arm.
--Robert

by a gamecock fan on Sep 6, 2007 11:02 AM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Actually Robert. . .
"One more thing...Syvelle Newton was Ryan Brewer with an arm."

And without the win against Georgia.

Cursed be thy name, Ryan Brewer! May you wander through eternity with Lou Holtz lisping along behind you, spittle spewing upon your back like so much brimstone!

Wow. That was really cathartic. I feel so much better now.

And you make an excellent point about Brinkley. His performance will really be a key too. Is the word out of Columbia still that Stoney Woodson is benched?

by MaconDawg on Sep 6, 2007 11:43 AM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

heh...
you're right about the difference between Brewer and Newton.  

Woodson isn't benched per se; he was slated to be either the starting CB or in the rotation in the 1st game, then Emmanuel Cook got suspended/reinstated/had an appendectomy (I have no idea what's going on with that) so I guess they felt Woodson had enough coverage ability to make up for hard hits.  Didn't work out so now he's back at corner, where he will most likely see time.

--Robert

by a gamecock fan on Sep 6, 2007 11:52 AM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

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