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Don't Bet On It: Bowl Edition (Part VIII)

At last we are down to college football's final four. I have picked each of the first 28 games of the upcoming postseason and, without further ado, I now turn to the task of predicting the handful of remaining contests, offering only at the outset my usual disclaimer: Don't Bet On It!

How little trust should you place in my forecasts? Well, I am the guy who believed beforehand that "Highlander II: The Quickening" would totally rock!

Orange Bowl: Kansas v. Virginia Tech (January 3): Believe it or not, the Jayhawks are on the verge of attending their third bowl in a five-year period, but their previous postseason engagements during the Mark Mangino era---the 2003 Tangerine Bowl and the 2005 Fort Worth Bowl---don't quite measure up to this citrus-themed classic in the Sunshine State. As a matter of fact, K.U. hasn't played a football game after Christmas Day since 1981 and hasn't been in action after New Year's Eve since the close of the 1968 campaign, when Pepper Rodgers was coaching in Lawrence and I was two months old. Admirers of Kansas State's Bill Snyder have to credit the Jayhawks with adopting their in-state rival's Sunflower State strategy of using sorry scheduling to produce an inflated record in order to earn---well, receive, at any rate---a better bowl bid than the invitee deserves. In practical consequence, Kansas has scheduled the same sort of "paycheck game" that defined the squad's September slate, which consisted entirely of home games against the likes of Central Michigan, Florida International, Southeastern Louisiana, and Toledo. This time, though, the Jayhawks are the schedule fodder being paid the big bucks to accept a whipping from a superior squad. V.P.I. will put its offense in, pick up no first downs, put its defense in, and smack the 'Hawks around, giving a Hokie beatdown to an overrated team. That's what it's all about for a squad that will give new meaning to the term "bleeding Kansas" after Virginia Tech gets done asserting its (old) dominion over the Jayhawks.

International Bowl: Ball State v. Rutgers (January 5): The university that produced David Letterman squares off with the university that produced Kristin Davis in the country that produced Alan Thicke. Although I previously proclaimed that the Scarlet Knights were a team on the rise, the State University of New Jersey did little of note in 2007, compiling a 7-5 record that included wins over Army, Buffalo, Navy, Norfolk State, Pitt, and Syracuse. Aside from a three-point home win over South Florida, Rutgers lost to every halfway-decent team it faced, falling by double-digit margins to Cincinnati, Connecticut, Maryland, and newly coachless West Virginia. The team last seen losing to hapless Louisville ought not to present too much of a challenge to any team worthy of a post-New Year's Eve bowl berth, but, fortunately for the Scarlet Knights, they drew Ball State instead. On what planet does a 7-5 record in the Mid-American Conference get you a bowl bid? When the Cardinals crossed the border, did the exchange rate give them credit for 9.2 wins in Canadian football? B.S.U. beat Buffalo, Eastern Michigan, Navy, Northern Illinois, Toledo, Western Kentucky, and Western Michigan, for crying out loud! When the majority of your wins are over schools with directional indicators in their nomenclature and two-thirds of your remaining victories came against universities named after cities other than those located in Coral Gables, Fla., or the so-called Loveliest Village, you have no business participating in postseason play. The result of this bowl will prove two things: first of all, that a mediocre B.C.S. conference team is significantly better than a team from a non-B.C.S. conference with an identical record, and, secondly, that Brian Cook was absolutely right about Brady Hoke, on whose behalf the best endorsement that may be offered is the fact that he was Miss Daisy's best friend. Rutgers will win a bowl staged by idiots, full of sound and fury, signifying nothing. Don't get me wrong, though . . . I plan on watching every minute of it!

Personally, I'm more of a Waffle House guy, but, at the bowl game played in Toronto, I'm pretty sure they prefer IHOP.

GMAC Bowl: Bowling Green v. Tulsa (January 6): Some of you may think I made this one up, but trust me when I tell you I didn't. Heck, I couldn't make this one up, inasmuch as I simply lack the imagination to pair these two teams in an obscure bowl game named for a mortgage company. (Presumably, points scored in the first three quarters will be applied to interest and points scored in the final stanza will reduce the principal balance of the loan.) The Falcons finished the season on a hot streak, going 4-0 in the month of November by an average final margin of 38-20, but that only looks impressive until you pause to consider that B.G.S.U.'s late autumn run came against Akron, Buffalo, Eastern Michigan, and Toledo. Sure, the Falcons beat Minnesota . . . but, then again, who didn't? The Golden Hurricane likewise attained a winning record against a forgettable schedule, winning nailbiters over such questionable competition as Army (by ten), Marshall (by seven), Rice (by five), S.M.U. (by six), and U.A.B. (by eight) while dropping decisions to Oklahoma (by 41) and Central Florida (twice, surrendering 44 points both times). Remember what I said about a mediocre Big East team and a M.A.C. team with the same record? Well, the same goes for a decent M.A.C. team and a Conference USA team with an equal number of losses, which is why Bowling Green will win.

B.C.S. Championship Game: Louisiana State v. Ohio State (January 7): Saurian Sagacity endured its share of scoffing from Sunday Morning Quarterback for being so sure of the S.E.C., but the better argument lies with the side of the Southeastern Conference upon this point. I agree with Sunday Morning Quarterback that supposedly foregone conclusions have proven to be anything but in the Bowl Championship Series era, which has seen championship games in which everyone knew Florida State would beat Oklahoma in 2000, everyone knew Miami (Florida) would beat Ohio State in 2002, everyone knew Southern California would beat Texas in 2005, and everyone knew Ohio State would beat Florida in 2006. Those, though, were situations in which the underdogs all at least had a credible claim to a spot in the game, even if other candidates had equally good arguments. When one team rather obviously has had no business being in contention---say, Nebraska in 2001 or Oklahoma in 2003---the results have been precisely what everyone predicted, without much in the way of drama. (Yes, I know the final margin of the 2004 Sugar Bowl was only a touchdown. No one who watched that game, no matter how rabid a Sooner partisan, ever entertained any illusions about the outcome.) Since I believe the Buckeyes have no serious claim to a spot in the title game, I'm not expecting much of a contest. Yes, Les Miles will get outcoached, but Ohio State will get outmanned by the Bayou Bengals, who will win because they simply are the better team.

I still think there is no national champion this year, though.

There you have them . . . prognostications for all 32 bowl games. It remains to be seen just exactly how many of them I will have erred in predicting, but you may rest assured that the number will be a large one. Consequently, I must caution you for the final time this autumn that, where my picks are concerned, there is one rule to which you must adhere above all others: Don't Bet On It!

Go 'Dawgs!

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Drivel
There is a lot of drivel in the BCS comment.  Why does Ohio State have no legit claim to being in the championship game.

Last time I checked they played in a major conference and had 1 loss.  

I actually think Ohio State will win this one.  Ther e, I am on record.

by SkiDawg1985 on Dec 16, 2007 11:59 PM EST   0 recs

Unfortunately . . .
"When the Cardinals crossed the border, did the exchange rate give them credit for 9.2 wins in Canadian football?"

Sadly, with the dollar being what it is, Ball State might actually be only a 6-6 team up there.

(That was still a pretty good line, though.)

"Maybe, just once, someone will call me 'sir' without adding 'you're making a scene.' " -- Homer Simpson

by Doug on Dec 17, 2007 7:55 AM EST   0 recs

Funny thing about Georgia
You guys are consistent in your unabashed anger at the Jayhawks getting into the BCS. Everyone else outside of Columbia understands why they made it in and doesn't take is as a slight on their own team's having not earned it themselves.  They are happy at others' fortunes and not still pissed that they lost the damn civil war.  

I mention your confederate past only because you slight the "Bleeding of Kansas" which is a term used to describe the slave owning sympathizers who use terrorist methods to kill women and children in Lawrence as they fought to make Kansas a free state, leading to abolition, an end of slavery, and your eventual defeat in the Civil War.  Side with the angry and pathetic fans of Mizzou who like you still haven't forgiven the Yanks for putting them down like Dawgs in the Civil War.  It's at least transparent . . .

Your take, although prefaced by your admission that your prognostication has been bent since championing Highlander II, is worse here.  Whether Kansas wins or loses, this is going to be one of the best bowl games of the season.  I will recommend, however, staying out of Vegas till mid January, else risk further getting behind on them double wide mortgage payments.

by delreydaddio on Dec 17, 2007 9:49 AM EST   0 recs

There are these things called "jokes"
They involve plays on words which are used to humorous effect. You should look into them, as they really lighten the mood in, you know, life.

For instance, as I suspect everyone else was able to discern without an excessive expenditure of mental energy, I did not actually believe "Highlander II" would be a good movie. I joked that I did, however, because, through this obvious hyperbole, I sought to illustrate how unsuccessful a prognosticator I would have to have been to have made such an enormous gaffe.

Likewise, I used the familiar phrase "bleeding Kansas" not to endorse the historical events to which you referred, but to note the extent to which I believe the Jayhawks once again will be exposed when they face legitimate opposition. My observation that Virginia Tech would give new meaning to those words ought to have indicated that my focus was on a 21st-century gridiron contest, not on the 19th-century military conflicts that carried tragic consequences for all participants.

I might as easily have used the equally familiar phrase "Toto, I don't think we're in Kansas anymore," which I hope would not have sent you into an historical and hysterical defense of poor old Auntie Em. In any event, I suppose I should be grateful that my reworking of the lyrics to the famous "Hokey Pokey" did not offend you, as well.

The "double wide" animadversion was a good one, though. In a few minutes, I will be leaving my law office and heading home to my house. I'll be sure to share a chuckle with the wife over your clever expression of ignorant regional prejudice when I get there.

by T Kyle King on Dec 17, 2007 5:09 PM EST to parent up   0 recs

It's a good thing...
you didn't reference "The Wizard of Oz."

He would have probably taken issue with the fact that Kansas, with their unique geography in relation to the Gulf of Mexico to the south and the mid-latitude dry airmasses to the north and west, is a breeding ground for particularly violent cyclogenesis during certain times of the year.

In other words, that tornado that hit near Auntie Em's house thus bonking poor Dorothy on the head, would have been your fault, Kyle.  

Kyle, for your sake I hope you can upgrade from that double-wide.  During a tornado, it's the worst possible place to be...

by DavetheDawg on Dec 17, 2007 5:39 PM EST to parent up   0 recs

It could be worse, Dave . . .
. . . delreydaddio could be one of the nimrods in this Central Florida message board comment thread, whose insightful critiques of my Liberty Bowl forecast reveal that they (a) mistakenly believe I have mistaken U.C.F. for a U.S.F. team that beat the Knights by a 64-12 margin, (b) think webloggers are folks with too much free time and too little credibility (as opposed to, you know, message board posters?), (c) "don't even get it," and---my personal favorite---(d) surmise that my "references are probably to myths and accusations" from George O'Leary's tenure as Georgia Tech's head coach.

You may remember some of those "myths and accusations" . . . you know, like the "myth" (confirmed by myriad replays) that the officials blew the call on game-deciding fumbles in 1998 and 1999, or the "myth" (confirmed by an N.C.A.A. investigation resulting in disciplinary sanctions against the Institute) that the Yellow Jackets fielded multiple academically ineligible athletes in several sports over at least a seven-year period.

Fortunately, some people appreciate genius when they see it. Alas, I fear I never will have the respect of U.C.F. message board posters until I attend graduate school at N.Y.U. or become a three-year letterman at New Hampshire. . . .

by T Kyle King on Dec 17, 2007 8:59 PM EST to parent up   0 recs

It's not worse
Dave, while I do hunt, I don't think I'm one of those hunters from your other thread, if I'm digesting your context correctly.  Not sure what you were looking to say with the tornado paragraph, but the jibe on all my big ol' werds wuz funny.  A little confused in the delivery, but love the spirit :-)

And, T Kyle, I assumed the Highlander thing was a joke, which was why I was making fun.  You walked into it, though, have to admit.  Perhaps I should tone down the syllable level so it could seem more playful and easier to understand.  I know you guys are used to tawkin a bit slower down there.  Sorry for the confusion. Oops, three syllables again.  I'll tone it down.

Back on point, though, it is the very fact that your 20th century view of the evolutionary sine that ebbs between power and impotence is left buried in your backyard.  People all season long were saying that the Hawks failed to prove, even when they left decisive shitstains on the stoops of Colorado, A&M, and Oklahoma State.  I won't even mention Nebraska's worst defeat ever.  

I said, and I'll say again that the reason you're all so pissed off is because you didn't get an invitation to the BCS bowl you wanted and are pissed that the Jayhawks dare run away with your bone.  Or even that they get to slobber on the bone that you and your buddies have been suckin' on for so long without sharing.  Truth be told, if Georgia were to replace Kansas in our division this year, you wouldn't have even made it to the North Division championship game.  You would have been clipped by, at the very least, Okie State and A&M, and likely Colorado too.  Nebraska?  You wouldn't have paved the street with them like we did.  The Jayhawks deserve their bowl and you only show how inbred your thinking to mistake it for anything other than a prime matchup.

Good luck against Hawaii.  Nothing against Georgia's program, I think they'll win the game, but seriously, spread your wings a bit and quit going only with what you used to know.  Times have changed, and you don't want to get left behind.

by delreydaddio on Dec 18, 2007 4:19 AM EST to parent up   0 recs

Yeah, you're right, pal . . .
. . . there's no way Georgia could have gotten by Oklahoma State, is there?

The Bulldogs "would have been clipped by" the Aggies, the Buffaloes, and the Cowboys? Georgia is 3-0 all-time against Oklahoma State, including this year's season opener. Mark Richt is 1-0 against Dennis Franchione-coached teams and 2-0 against Dan Hawkins-coached teams, with a number of the aforementioned wins coming in very big games.

Before you bother making a comment, delreydaddio, take the time to learn something. All you're doing is advertising your ignorance and provoking peals of laughter through your silly attempts at arrogance.

Since you're posting comments at all hours of the morning, I know you have ludicrous amounts of time on your hands, so I would encourage you to take a few minutes to read through the postings and comments here at Dawg Sports.

Really, pick one at random. I think you'll find that three-syllable words aren't a problem for us. Heck, three-syllable words are what I use when I'm just getting warmed up, you stercoraceous homunculus.

by T Kyle King on Dec 18, 2007 7:47 AM EST to parent up   0 recs

Kyle...
No use in debating with an 8th grader.  Or someone who lost their lithium prescription.

Li-the-um.  Three syllables.

by DavetheDawg on Dec 18, 2007 8:34 PM EST to parent up   0 recs

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