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How Will the 'Dawgs Fare in 2006?

As I noted this morning, Peter had a question to put before Bulldog Nation:

Just curious what the Bulldog faithful would consider an acceptable result this year. What are your expectations for this team? What would be considered an underachievement? What's the barometer for a successful season in a year of quarterback transition?

Just a curious outsider wondering what the mood is among the Bulldog faithful.


I believe the mood of the Georgia fan base is one of guarded optimism, much more so today than it was a year ago. (Much more guarded, that is, not much more optimistic.)

Since Herschel Walker left school early for the U.S.F.L., Bulldog fans have been disappointed more often than not and a conference title drought of two decades' duration taught us a healthy skepticism regarding expectations. One team after another fell short---sometimes just short, as in 1983, 1988, and 1992; sometimes spectacularly short, as in 2000---so, drawing our inspiration from perennial worrier Larry Munson, we in Bulldog Nation have learned to hang our hats on any doubts that present themselves, no matter how ephemeral.

Of course, I was worried this time last year, too . . . and look how that worked out for us.

Little by little, though, Georgia fans are starting to creep out from under our shells. Expectations were sky-high in 2002 . . . and the result was a 13-1 season, a Southeastern Conference championship, and a Sugar Bowl victory. A let-down was expected in 2003 . . . but the Bulldogs made it back to the conference championship game and lost only to the eventual national champion and to the team that beat the national champion. 2005 was supposed to be a rebuilding year . . . yet it produced another S.E.C. title and a fourth straight 10-win season.

In the Mark Richt era, only one season has fallen short of expectations and that lone campaign (2004) resulted in a double-digit win tally and a New Year's Day bowl win.

My inner Munson notes with trepidation that 2006 is different from 2005, insofar as the Red and Black lost players not just of quality but also in quantity. There are more holes to be filled and more questions to be answered (particularly under center . . . and to the left of center . . . and to the right of center) than there were 12 months ago and no signal-caller appears anywhere close to filling David Greene's or D.J. Shockley's shoes.

The more I see of this, the better.

I might feel slightly better if the schedule set up a little differently. If, for instance, I could flip-flop the South Carolina and Georgia Tech games so that we could get the Yellow Jackets early and the Gamecocks late, I would strongly consider doing so.

Still, we must play the hand we have been dealt and there is no doubting Mark Richt's abilities as a coach. I expect the Bulldogs to go 8-4 or 9-3 through the regular season and fall short of winning the division. If the 'Dawgs do not win at least eight games, I will be sorely disappointed, but, if the Red and Black post a fifth straight 10-win season, I will be quite pleased . . . and very probably ready to start talking some serious trash for 2007 and beyond.

For now, though, I will be happy if I see progress at the Q.B. spot over the course of the campaign and if Georgia strings together enough victories to make it to a respectable bowl game. Anything better than 3-3 against the six toughest teams on the Bulldogs' slate (South Carolina, Colorado, Tennessee, Florida, Auburn, and Georgia Tech) would be gravy.

Of course, this is the time of year at which I am most nervous, so don't go by what I say. What do my fellow denizens of Bulldog Nation think? What do you expect from the Red and Black in 2006?

Go 'Dawgs!

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I've got a feeling... and it's not my bunions...
Kyle, The last time we had a freshman coming into a new year this heralded was ol' Herschel. In 1980, my freshman year at UGA, we were coming off a disappointing 6-5 season. That year, we went 1-3 against ACC Teams, only beating Georgia Tech. Not much was expected for 1980. But, late in the year we signed Herschel and, as the season neared, a feeling began to envolope Athens. We weren't quite sure what we had, but the only way to find out was to play him. I can't help but have that same feeling this year. We've got another heralded freshman, playing the key position on the team, unlike 1980 when the quarterback's main mission was to not fumble the snap and to hand off to someone who could run the ball. Yeah, there are alot of questions...perhaps more questions than answers...but I've got a really funny feeling that may require a few bottles of Maalox and a box or two of Tums along the way (isn't every year like this?), something really special is about to transpire. I'm thinking we not only repeat at SEC champs, but with a little Munsonian "Lady Luck," we might find ourselves vying for the whole Enchalada! How 'Bout 'Em!?

by DavetheDawg on Jul 24, 2006 4:22 PM EDT reply actions  

Expectations
Looking at Georgia's schedule and returning players, expectations are lower this year than they were last year. The six games that Georgia must win are Western Kentucky, UAB, Ole Miss, Vandy, Mississippi State, and Kentucky. A loss in any of these games would be a disappointment. The remaining six teams (S. Carolina, Colorado, Tenn., Florida, Auburn, and Tech) should provide a tougher test than the previous six. A 2-4 record against these six teams would be the minimum expectation. A win against Colorado seems reasonable, and a win against either the Gamecocks or Yellow Jackets would result in an 8 win season (I don't forsee the Dawgs losing to both of these games). Therefore, 8-4 would be acceptable and anything less would be considered an underachievement by this Georgia team (while 9 or more wins would be a testament to the players and coaches). Although an 8-4 campaign could mean a Jim Donnan-like 0-4 record against conference rivals, this Georgia squad is young and lacks depth. Most Georgia fans would trade a loss to Colorado for a win against Tenn., Florida, or Auburn. But consistent play, and an improvement from week to week are the main expectations of this Georgia alum.

by dawgengineer on Jul 25, 2006 11:06 AM EDT reply actions  

Pure, Unfiltered Blind Optimism

I was never a big college football fan until I got to UGA in 2000, and since then we've been pretty damn good.  So I don't have that skeptisism (sp?) other Dawg fans have.  I go into every year thinking we can win every game.  I know some games will be tougher than others, but when I look at the heavy hitters this year (Florida, Auburn), I always remember the hyp Auburn got in 2003 and Tennessee got last year.  There's usually one team we play that never lives up to expectations.  And since UGA pretty much has no expectations this year, I think this is going to be a pretty good year.

Go Dawgs!!!

by AAADawg on Jul 25, 2006 11:54 AM EDT reply actions  

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