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Don't Bet On It: Around the S.E.C.

To the surprise of exactly no one, I tanked completely in last week's S.E.C. picks, getting all the easy ones right but missing each of the toss-ups.

A fellow could take most of what these guys took in the '60s and still stand a halfway decent chance of forecasting football games better than me. (Photograph from All Posters.)

That left me at 4-2 for the weekend and 38-8 for the season in Southeastern Conference predictions. Surely that should be all the incentive you would ever need to give no credit whatsoever to my skills as a prognosticator, but, just in case you needed an additional reminder, let me hasten to add . . . Don't Bet On It!

Here are the forecasts for this week's S.E.C. games, each of which will be played on Saturday, October 14:

Southeast Missouri State at Arkansas---As astounding as it is to contemplate, the Razorbacks control their own destiny in the Western Division race. I'm a firm believer that you're never as good as you seem and you're never as bad as you seem, so I don't want to read too much into the Hogs' victory over Auburn, but, just the same, I have every confidence that Houston Nutt will have his team ready to play a squad with two directional indicators and the word "State" in its name, so I'm going with Arkansas.

This does not impress me. Now, if your marching band goes out and spells "Southeast Missouri State" in cursive . . . that would impress me. (Photograph from The Ohio State University Marching Band Drum Major.)

Jacksonville State at Mississippi State---Jacksonville State? Honestly, I've been to a lot of Georgia-Florida games by the St. John's River, and I never knew there was a college there. . . . I'm sorry, what's that? Jacksonville, Alabama, you say? There's a Jacksonville, Alabama? I make it a rule never to pick a team I've never heard of to beat one with which I am familiar. Well, it's not so much a rule; it's really more of a guideline, but, in any event, I think the Bulldogs can beat Jacksonville State.

Kentucky at Louisiana State---U.K. isn't as bad as you think. The Wildcats are averaging over 28 points per game, their passing attack is just a half-step behind Florida's, and they are led by Rafael Little, who ranks second in the league in all-purpose yardage. Unfortunately for the 'Cats, they are atrocious defensively, permitting the second-most points per outing of any team in the conference and ranking last in the S.E.C. against the pass. Add to that the fact that they are going into Baton Rouge to take on a Tiger team looking to take out some frustrations on someone after a 1-2 start in league play, and it becomes abundantly clear that the home team won't need a bayou version of the Bluegrass Miracle to get out of this one with a victory. L.S.U. wins . . . big.

Ole Miss at Alabama---This game has 14-10 written all over it . . . and not 14-10 in a classic-S.E.C.-defensive-struggle-straight-out-of-1962 sort of way, either. I'm talking about 14-10 in a dull, plodding, ham-handed sort of way. I'm thinking the Tide will be the ones with the 14.

The final score may make you think Johnny Vaught is still coaching, but the quality of the football won't. (Photograph from The Tennessean.)

Florida at Auburn---It's the long-awaited meeting between the two sets of Stalwarts in Orange and Blue ("S.O.B.s" for short)! An otherwise thoroughly forgettable slate of Southeastern Conference contests culminates in a battle that will go a long way toward deciding both divisional races. If the Gators win, it's hard to imagine that Florida will lose enough league games to allow once-beaten Georgia and Tennessee to sneak back into the picture. If the Plainsmen win, they stay alive in the Western Division race and may retain hope that Arkansas will lose a couple of their upcoming conference contests, some of which are daunting. It is a rarity for me to root for the Tigers, but this is one of the few occasions on which I must pull for the Bulldogs' oldest rival and, as my heart goes, so goes my prediction, as I am picking Auburn. I hate Auburn.

Before long, I'll give you my forecasts in the national games of interest, but, in the meantime, be sure to remember that, whatever you do . . . Don't Bet On It!

Go 'Dawgs!

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National Game of Disinterest -- Just a suggestion
Colgate visits Cornell for the Big Red's Homecoming game.  Even the people in Ithaca won't care.  Instead we will play cards and drink beer while the Big Red plays only 250 yards away from the Hotel (Cornell has a hotel on campus that is manned in large part by the Hotel School students).

by Blogger who came in from the cold on Oct 9, 2006 10:50 AM EDT   0 recs

Scouting Jax State
My dad went there.  They are the "other" fighting Gamecocks.  Their most famous alum in football right now might be Joe Kines.  One of their former coaches was Charlie Pell.  Yeah, that one.  He turned the program around before moving on to bigger things.

Their coach is Jack Crowe.  He was the Auburn Offensive Coordinator under Dye from '82-85, and the OC at Clemson from '86-88. He later ended up at Arkansas where he was the head coach and offensive coordinator very briefly after Hatfield left. However, he was fired immediately after losing to The Citadel.

Jax State's traditional rivals back in the day were UTC and Troy.  They are currently members of the Ohio Valley Conference, and they're doing quite well as a Div I-AA team.

They are scheduled to play 2 games with Georgia Tech in or around 2008 and 2009.

Their stadium is a bit larger than Clarke Central's stadium.

And they are absolutely confident that they will give Miss State ALL they want on Saturday. They are in no shape form or fashion afraid.

This Jax State team is a heap better than the Maine team that beat MSU 2 years ago.

Paul Westerdawg
Georgia Sports Blog

by Paulwesterdawg on Oct 9, 2006 2:07 PM EDT   0 recs

Is it too late to change my pick?
Thanks for the education, Paul.

Had I known your dad went there, I never would have picked against 'em. My bad.

by T Kyle King on Oct 9, 2006 3:06 PM EDT   0 recs

Florida at Auburn
I hate Auburn, too, Kyle...but the resurgence of Florida is unacceptable.  I have to interact with way too many Gators living on the edge of the Everglades as I do, and right now they are partying like it's...1996.  I hope Auburn bitch slaps 'em back into the mid 1970's and I hope Tim Tebow gets hit so hard that his water breaks.  

by DavetheDawg on Oct 10, 2006 4:36 PM EDT   0 recs

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