FanPost

Mike "Leach" Bobo feasting on cupcakes

TKK's Monday Rambling story sparked the researcher in me, so be warned there are numbers and some averages included in the piece below (no actual math is required but some understanding of the concept is). A lot of people look at the offensive production of UGA and consider Mike Bobo to be a very competent play caller and Offensive Coordinator, but as most on here are aware, I am not in that camp. They look at the fact that since Bobo's offense has scored 2074 points in 5 seasons (an average of 31.4 points/game) that UGA should be able be a consistent 10+ win program; but a little deeper look tells a little different story.

As one would expect that average gets padded a little when Bobo's offense faces non-FBS teams: a 48.8 pts/game average. Against FBS competition the average per game takes a little hit to 29.0 pts/game. Breaking the FBS opponents down a little more shows that Bobo's offense enjoys playing against FBS teams that finish the year with 6-9 wins (31.8 pts/game), teams that finish with less than 6 wins allow UGA to score 28 pts/game and those elite FBS teams (10+ wins) only allow UGA to score 23.4 pts/game. Now even when playing against FBS opponents there is the occasional "cupcake" that falls into that category, so yes I broke the numbers down a little more and looked at how well Bobo's offense performed against the "AQ" opponents UGA has faced since Bobo became the OC. When facing AQ teams that finish the season with less than 6 wins UGA scores 28.0 pts/game. Against the middle of the pack teams (6-9 wins) the offense enjoys 30.8 pts/game; and when facing the elites of the AQ teams (10+ wins) that average falls to 22.5 pts/game.

We average facing 2 "elite" AQ teams a season. Is 22.5 points enough to win those two games. So I leave you with this poll and your comments, discussion and gripes are very welcome below:

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