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Don’t Bet On It: The BCS National Championship Game.

Finally, mercifully this long, arduous journey is nearly over. And I'm just talking about my writing. It’s the Allstate BCS National Championship Game, the ultimate contest to decide the best college football team in the land. Is it me, or does this game seemingly creep closer and closer to being played in February every year? Nevertheless, Alabama and LSU finally get their rematch; the SEC wins another National Champion to the chagrin of the other 11 conferences (as of this writing) and 108 non-SEC schools in Division I College Football, and Paul Finebaum, no matter the outcome, becomes the most listened to man in the history of spoken word.

This game will be a sequel, and 98.7% of the time, these things don't turn out so well.

I've never been so miffed after leaving a theater than I was at the conclusion of this turkey...

Will Bama vs. LSU II live up to the original? Yes. And here's why:

Star-divide

I thought Nick Saban was out-coached in the first game, and he just failed miserably in the brief overtime period. Despite Alabama's ability to move the ball between the "20s" for the bulk of the contest, Saban's conservatism eventually forced them into field goal situations and we all know how this turned out. Overtime was especially unkind to Saban and the endgame was decided when A.J. McCarron took a 3rd down sack forcing an impossible 52-yard field goal attempt which, as expected, fell far short. This game was about defenses. The rematch might be a bit different because Saban will be more aggressive on both sides of the ball. I believe this will make for more offense, and more scoring. If Saban gambles and wins, he'll force LSU's hand, which just adds to the intrigue. On the other hand, LSU is good enough to turn any gamble into a painful lesson. Hopefully, it'll turn into a high-stakes chess match that doesn't disappoint. Both teams don't mind playing the field position game. They're confident enough (rightly so) in their respective ability to stop the other guy. But you've got to score points to win, and I just don't see either coach going into an offensive shell like we saw in round one.

Bdqpb_medium

One of these guys doesn't have time for "have a nice day."

LSU certainly showed us, as Bulldog fans, how great they truly are...but we exposed some vulnerabilities as well, if creative play calling is actually consummated by execution (you know...like actually catching a touchdown pass or two). I don't know if Georgia stays with LSU if we build up the kind of lead we left on the table, but this is what I took away from our match up with the Tigers: You can get to them, but you'd better do it early. Alabama needs to get a lead on LSU if they want a shot. LSU has only played from behind a few times this season, but has carved up all-comers with ease after the half. If LSU builds any kind of lead on Alabama, this game could get ugly. As great as Trent Richardson is, I believe Alabama quarterback A.J. McCarron is a liability. Bama has got to be able to run the ball. They did rush for nearly 200 yards in Round 1. It's the red zone that became the issue. Bama has to be able to throw the ball. Good luck with that.

Is there any reason to think that this game will feature any more offensive (and scoring) than the first game? Alabama still leads the nation in total defense through 12 games. LSU is second, having played one more game. Is this an advantage for the Tigers, having played a game more recently than their opponent? There is a tremendous amount of rust on both of these teams, and I'd speculate that Alabama is the rustier of the two. Alabama might be harder pressed to score because of this.

No matter the odds and the lay-off time between games for either team, I believe this will be a very, very good game; perhaps a classic. Rarely do sequels result in what is expected, but defense wins championships which is something that LSU and Alabama possess more than anyone in the country. There may be more scoring, and considering the faster track of the Louisiana Superdome carpet, some scoring might result from special teams (decided advantage LSU).

Allstate BCS National Championship Game, 8:30 P.M. ESPN #1 LSU Tigers vs. #2 (-1.5) Alabama Crimson Tide

Expect more dominating defensive performances by both squads, but this game won't end 9-6. I believe the Honey Badger makes at least one significant play, and LSU gains an early lead that 'Bama will be hard-pressed to catch up to. Jarrett Lee took most of the snaps in the first meeting. He'll never see the field unless Jordan Jefferson gets hurt of is simply ineffective. LSU has played an incredible schedule, perhaps the toughest ever. They don't walk a mile for a Camel down in Baton Rouge for nuttin', folks. It reminds me a little bit of Andy DuFresne's letter to Red in The Shawshank Redemption.

Dear Les Red, If you're reading this, you've gotten out. And if you've come this far, maybe you're willing to come a little further.

LSU has walked a long, hard road to get to where they are. Just one more hurdle, this time basically in their own backyard. Bottom line: We'll see the same stellar defensive play from both sides, with a bit more scoring but another close game down the stretch.

Don't Bet On It Prediction: LSU 20 Alabama 13

If I'm correct, Finebaum is gonna be a blast this week...

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In defense of "The Godfather, Part III," . . .

. . . no movie that displays Bridget Fonda’s bare back can be all bad.

Yeah, that’s all I’ve got.

Manager, Dawg Sports, SB Nation's Georgia Bulldogs weblog.
Go 'Dawgs!

by T Kyle King on Jan 8, 2012 7:58 PM EST up reply actions  

You can call me for clipping

everyday of the week on that one

I HATE ORANGE, and DGNBs

by Dawg2011 on Jan 8, 2012 8:37 PM EST up reply actions  

Thanks Dave.

I don’t think there is any reasonable or logical bet on this game. I just hope in my heart LSU lays in on Bama big time. The mere thought of listening to Bama fans winning a game they shouldn’t be in makes me cringe.

Editor, "Dawgsports"

"The ball ain't heavy." Herschel Walker

by chuckdawg on Jan 8, 2012 9:06 PM EST reply actions   1 recs

Agreed!

Bama fans were tolerable for a while there. But I’ve been reminded of late about their most noticeable characteristic back in the 70’s—an overbearing, bighatted smugness. I almost preferred the trashy meanness of the Aubies. Go get ’em, corndoggers!

by Chickasaw on Jan 8, 2012 9:53 PM EST up reply actions  

This...

They don’t deserve to be in the game, and if they win, I’d still vote (if I had one) LSU #1. Thus, I want a Tiger victory, for the good of football.

That said, lately, my football luck has been terrible, so I fully expect the smug cloud hovering over New Orleans to travel to Tuscaloosa, if any additional smugness can be added to the atmosphere without causing global damage.

GATA!

by Jman781 on Jan 9, 2012 11:08 AM EST up reply actions   1 recs

Smug is even more intolerable than smog,

but it, like smog, hovers over places that blow out polluted, hot air.

by Cherokee's Grip on Jan 9, 2012 12:00 PM EST up reply actions  

...

I HATE ORANGE, and DGNBs

by Dawg2011 on Jan 9, 2012 12:09 PM EST up reply actions  

I kind of want Bama to win

just to have another point in the never ending argument with Kyle about college football’s beauty contest champion.

http://sportsandgrits.com/

by Mr. Sanchez on Jan 9, 2012 3:02 PM EST up reply actions  

Thanks Dawg fans!

Yep, the Bama folks (and the team?) have come in with a definite attitude and seems like a grudge too. If When they loose tomorrow there will be some unhappy Bammers making their way back home. The only question I"ll have is what they will try to blame it on this time? And oh yeah, I’ll definitely want to hear Finebaum afterwards!

by Fredster n nola on Jan 8, 2012 10:33 PM EST reply actions  

The sad part is Bama used to stand for something special.

It gave Dixie a since of hope and togetherness in a bad, bad time. Bear finally started putting African Americans on his squad and won even more breaking through glass ceilings. My family is deep, deep UGA, but I was raised to respect Bama. Now the younger generations have inherited a legacy they don’t even understand nor respect themselves. What was something special is now something mindless and unethical. Winning is all that matters. No one really loves Saban. No one outside of a died in wool Bama fan respects their oversigning or academic standards. That damned crystal ball isn’t worth what they are about to get it. And If it was UGA in position to play the same team twice, I would call UGA out on it for being crap as well. Whether it is next year or 10 years or 100 years, when UGA wins its next NC I hope it is pure, clean and without any dishonor.

Editor, "Dawgsports"

"The ball ain't heavy." Herschel Walker

by chuckdawg on Jan 8, 2012 11:40 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

I agree with a lot of what you said

and I also wanted to say that the Georgia fans are some of the classiest in the SEC that I have seen. A friend who is on here sent me this article and I had wanted to voice my thanks to y’all. I wish I could say the Tigers fans had your class but they tend to get a little too rowdy and wild at times. (I want to scream at times when I hear that “Tiger Bait” chant) LOL!

Looking forward to see y’all again in Atlanta next year and I already know we’ll have our hands full with the Dawgs!

by Fredster n nola on Jan 9, 2012 1:03 AM EST up reply actions   1 recs

Thanks, Fredster n nola.

Y’all do everybody a favor and pound the Crimson Tide into merely a crimson trickle, ok?

Editor, Dawg Sports.

Go Dawgs!

by vineyarddawg on Jan 9, 2012 9:48 AM EST up reply actions  

I hate Alabama worse than....

Florida, Auburn, Georgia Tech, or Tennessee. Yes. I.Just.Said.That……And I hate Auburn second worst. It is the most dirty, backwards, cheatin’est state in all the land. Hell, I live 1 stop sign away from the home of the late Logan Young. Did yall know, that Troy University (in Alabama) is also in the Top 5 in oversigning, right there along with their 2 big brothers ?

What a great read this article is: http://oversigning.com/testing/index.php/2010/02/13/history-lesson/

A wayward dawg in Memphis looking for the voice of reason

by esquiredawg on Jan 9, 2012 10:57 AM EST reply actions  

I guess I want LSU to win

Otherwise the entire off season will be spent debating on whether Bama should be the sole champion or if there should be a split championship. Hell, I read on ESPN that some writers were still planning to vote for LSU regardless of the outcome. Things could get ugly.

Integrity first. Service before self. Excellence in all you do. -- USAF Core Values

by Disciple of Carolina on Jan 9, 2012 2:31 PM EST reply actions  

If Bama wins

there should be a split title. No doubt about that.

http://sportsandgrits.com/

by Mr. Sanchez on Jan 9, 2012 3:03 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

This...

How does Alabama beating LSU prove anything?

GATA!

by Jman781 on Jan 9, 2012 3:09 PM EST up reply actions  

All it proves is that

Alabama had the easier schedule, LSU played the harder schedule and they both end up with the same record and losses to the same team (each other).

I HATE ORANGE, and DGNBs

by Dawg2011 on Jan 9, 2012 3:46 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

Somehow...

I feel Bama will claim a National Title even if they lose.

GATA!

by Jman781 on Jan 9, 2012 5:45 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

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