Someone with more time and math skills than I possess sat down and figured out that the Fox Hounds have a 49.7 per cent likelihood of finishing fourth in the East, an 82.2 per cent likelihood of finishing either third or fourth in the East, and only a 15.4 per cent likelihood of finishing fifth in the East. While a second-place finish (and an accompanying first-round bye) would be nice, there's only a 2.4 per cent chance of that happening. The important thing is to finish either third or fourth in the division, thereby earning a first-round date with one or the other of the two sets of terrible Tigers languishing at the bottom of the SEC West. The chances of that are looking pretty good. Go 'Dawgs!