Don't Bet On It!: College Football Predictions Around the SEC
Although I posted a 5-1 record in last week’s non-SEC picks to run my ledger for the season to 25-13, I will be dispensing with the national games of interest and disinterest this week, because there are none of the former, and because every outing occurring outside the Southeastern Conference this week is one of the latter. I’m sorry, but, this week, the SEC is all that matters, at least from our perspective here in Bulldog Nation, so I’m sticking strictly to conference contests.
Last Saturday, I went 3-1 in my SEC predictions (and, though I was wrong about the upset I foresaw, Auburn and Ole Miss were tied at halftime), so my mark for the fall now stands at 43-11. Even so, though, you should heed my advice before considering my prognostications: Don’t Bet On It!
Tennessee-Martin Skyhawks at Mississippi St. Bulldogs: I observe a simple rule for games such as this, which has served me well for many years. If you’re playing an SEC team on the road, and I had to Google your school to learn the name of your mascot before I could pick your game, you’re not winning that game. The Bulldogs will win handily.
Middle Tenn. St. Blue Raiders at Tennessee Volunteers: What do the Blue Raiders have that the Volunteers don’t? A conference win: Middle Tennessee State Northwest A&M Central Tech (I may have gone a little overboard there) is 1-3 in Sun Belt action, while Tennessee is 0-5 in SEC play. Fortunately for the Vols, they are 3-0 against non-conference opponents, and they’ll make it 4-0 as the Big Orange beat down the visiting Blue Raiders.
Mississippi Rebels at Kentucky Wildcats: Is it unfair to call it the "Unemployment Bowl" if both head coaches are totally fired already? If you know what’s good for you, you’ll call your cable or satellite provider prior to 3:30 p.m. Eastern on Saturday and ask to have ESPNU removed from your package, just to make absolutely certain you don’t accidentally watch part of this game and find yourself blinded by bad football. If you happen to catch it, and you aren’t turned to stone or anything, what you’ll see is an ugly Ole Miss win.
Vanderbilt Commodores at Florida Gators: Poor Vandy. The ‘Dores have battled valiantly all season long, yet here they are at 4-4 overall, with four losses in SEC play, and they’re forced to go to Gainesville to face a Florida team that . . . is 4-4 overall, with four losses in SEC play. Huh; I’ll be danged. The Commies haven’t won in the Swamp since the Pleistocene Epoch (I’m not bothering to look that up, but it’s been a while, all right?), so I’m not picking ‘em to do it this week, either. The good news for the Georgia Bulldogs is that one of these teams will emerge from this contest as the first team the ‘Dawgs have beaten with a winning record. The bad news for the Georgia Bulldogs is that that team will be Florida (whom we dislike even more than we dislike Vanderbilt).
South Carolina Gamecocks at Arkansas Razorbacks: Traditionally, this is where I break out the annual "Battle of the Barnyard" jokes and make fun of the facts that (a) a Gamecock is really just a chicken and (b) a Razorback is really just a pig. This year, though, this game matters a great deal: Arkansas and South Carolina both are 7-1 overall, with the lone loss coming in SEC play, and, frankly, Georgia needs the Palmetto State Poultry to lose this one, in order to give the ‘Dawgs a chance to win the SEC East. Fortunately, my head and my heart here find themselves on the same page, as my hopes and the actual odds align in this instance. I want the Hogs to win, and they will.
LSU Tigers at Alabama Crimson Tide: I’ve been trying to get a fix on this game, but I’ve had a hard time because it just isn’t being given adequate media attention. (Boy, I say, boy, that’s a joke, son.) I would pick this game differently if it were being played in Baton Rouge, but I’m taking the Tide to get it done in Tuscaloosa.
Go ‘Dawgs!
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Agree with all your picks...
I do not believe South Carolina has ever beaten an Arkansas squad that finished the season with a winning record at Arkansas. Hopefully, that trend continues.
While I agree that the most important games are in the SEC, out of curiosity, do you think K-State has a prayer against Okie State? That’s a big game, too, at least looking at the standings. (I’m not buying K-State.)
"Don't go ninja'n nobody that don't need ninja'n!" ~ Kung Fu Hillbilly.
My one hang up though is the ground game
Arkansas doesn’t have one, allowing Taylor, CLowney, Ingram, etc to just pin their ears back and attack Wilson, something they do extremely well even if the opposition has the threat of a running game.
On the other hand, Wilds had a pretty impressive performance in Knoxville last week, and Arkansas really struggles stopping the run.
In the SEC controlling the clock and winning the running game margin often matters, a lot. That aspect bodes uncomfortably well in the Gamecock favor.
http://sportsandgrits.com/
But if Tennesee had any offense...
that game is even closer than 14-3. South Carolina has struggled to score points since Lattimore went down. Their defense is good, but what offenses have they faced? The best they have seen all year was Georgia, which put 42 on the board. I think they score some points, but the Arkansas offense and passing game will be the difference.
by liftbigdiehuge on Nov 4, 2011 1:57 PM EDT up reply actions
We'll see
UT’s D is vastly superior to Arkansas’ imo. So it kind of balances out. Strength vs strength on one side of the ball (Hogs passing vs SC pass D), but strength vs weakness on the other (Chicken’s run O vs. Arkansas run D).
http://sportsandgrits.com/
I hope the Hogs win
I really don’t see Carolina losing to Florida
by liftbigdiehuge on Nov 4, 2011 2:13 PM EDT up reply actions
I actually think the Gators win that game
in an ugly, 14-10 game thanks to a special teams TD and a pick 6.
http://sportsandgrits.com/
Thanks...
Mr. Bucket of Cold Ice Water…
Can’t I enjoy the thought of the Gamecocks getting thrashed for at least one day?!
"Don't go ninja'n nobody that don't need ninja'n!" ~ Kung Fu Hillbilly.
by Jman781 on Nov 4, 2011 2:33 PM EDT up reply actions 1 recs
Hey, I'm no prognosticator
and a L to the Hogs in Fayetteville seems more likely than not. All I’m saying is the weakest unit on both teams is Arkansas’ run defense, and South Carolina, even without Lattimore, is capable of taking advantage of that.
http://sportsandgrits.com/
Ha...
After watching them play Vandy and Ole Miss the past two weeks, anything can happen.
Good defenses and special teams can allow teams with mediocre offenses to hang around. South Carolina, with Lattimore, only truly scored 17 offensive points against us, yet they won 45-42!!
That said, going all the way out to that stadium for a night game will be a tall order. If anything, Arkansas is due for a good game.
"Don't go ninja'n nobody that don't need ninja'n!" ~ Kung Fu Hillbilly.
Did I read this from you, Mr Sanchez?
In the SEC controlling the clock and winning the running game margin often matters, a lot.
Success is never final. --Winston Churchill
Actually, no sir, it isn't.
You may want it to be a different discussion, but that doesn’t make it so. Let me welcome you to SEC Football…aka SMASH MOUTH FOOTBALL.
/Punches into time-clock.
Success is never final. --Winston Churchill
If you say so
but we’ve had this conversation long enough. But yes, methods of winning football games and what defines an “SEC” coach are different discussions, whether you want them to be the same thing or not.
http://sportsandgrits.com/
Also, your
“definition” took things to an extreme, a style of 30 years ago. So for my last comment here, that definition, and what I just said are wholly different topics of conversation with little cross over.
http://sportsandgrits.com/
Funny, only you think it's an extreme...and yet you reference an SEC battle where the running game margin mattered.
To your credit, you didn’t mention a shut-down defense, but I implied that. So my “DEFINITION” is met by you and your comments.
And I don’t say so, Mr Sanchez…generations’ worth of SEC football says so. And yes, we’ve had this conversation. There’s an SEC way of football, and there’s not. Your boy…not!
Success is never final. --Winston Churchill
Why is this about Leach all of a sudden?
Don’t get pissy because you make out a definition for a coach from 30 years ago, and give examples of such an “SEC coach” that don’t even meet half the criteria you laid out to define an “SEC coach”. You made an argument, very poorly. It’s done with and over. Let it go please. I have.
http://sportsandgrits.com/
I've tried to make a suitable response to this.
I can’t, and I find your response disrespectful. I did not attack you. I attacked an opinion of yours, but not you. However, you seem hell-bent on those who disagree with your distorted opinions. Fine. Have it as you will, Mr Sanchez.
Success is never final. --Winston Churchill
And I didn't attack you
I said your past argument defining an “SEC coach” was poorly done, had massive holes, and the examples used did not meet the definition they were used to exemplify. That’s attacking the argument, not you.
I’m sorry you felt like bringing this back up at 11:13 last night, and continuing with that long dead discussion this morning.
http://sportsandgrits.com/
That bell you both just heard marked the end of the round.
When I saw the original 11:13 and 12:33 comments, I almost made a humorous comment, in the hope of defusing the situation before it started back again; now, I wish I had.
No one’s getting banned, warned, or otherwise punished; you’re both adults, and you both make valuable contributions to the community, and I get where both of you are coming from, but you happen to rub one another the wrong way about this. That’s it. That’s all.
Fortunately, the Bulldogs’ seven-game winning streak more or less renders this argument moot, as the likelihood of stylistic changes to the Georgia offense is now extremely low. You’ve both set forth, and hashed out, your positions, and everyone except the two of you with skin in the game understands and respects both of your positions.
In the wake of podunkdawg’s polite call to agree to disagree now that further exchanges between the two of you on this subject are highly unlikely to be productive, let me make it more explicit: I would consider it a personal favor if both of you would agree to let this drop. Thanks in advance for your cooperation.
Manager, Dawg Sports, SB Nation's Georgia Bulldogs weblog.
Go 'Dawgs!
I have 3 points of contention
The lesser first: I also like LSU
and while I dislike Vanderbuilt….I HATE FLORIDA (no sugar-coating “dislike”….)
I HATE ORANGE and GREEN notebooks
Bet on this ...

Jarvis Jones a.k.a. The Soul Reaper
"Uvarum, Uvarum Fit, Uvarum.... double Fit..."
- Augustus "Gus" McCrae
by Munson's_Marbles on Nov 4, 2011 12:15 PM EDT reply actions 6 recs
probably a pretty quick shutter speed to catch that action
in such sharpness… yet JJ’s ’chop hand is still a blur
by knowshon loves legos on Nov 4, 2011 1:12 PM EDT up reply actions
I'm hoping that 0-for-October
segues smoothly into No-win November.
by Cherokee's Grip on Nov 4, 2011 9:57 PM EDT up reply actions 1 recs
How about 1-win November instead???
A little insurance over the COCKS would be much appreciated, even if Arkansas takes care of business tomorrow night.
"I'm from Ohio, but if I'd known when I was two what it was like down South, I would have crawled here on my hands and knees."-Frank Sinkwich, University of Georgia
I don't root for Gators.
If we get insurance, we get insurance. I ain’t rooting for it, though.
Editor, Dawg Sports.
Go Dawgs!
by vineyarddawg on Nov 5, 2011 7:22 AM EDT up reply actions 1 recs
Picked up on this from a King Blog
but keep reading….a reader (Brent Jarnicki, not Bill) posted about the on-field changes to the paint scheme at Sanford Stadium. Not being a trusty type of guy, I went back and looked at the Carolina game, the CCU game and Miss. St. WHAT HAS HAPPENED TO OUR GEORGIA G ON THE ENDZONE? The reader mentions a few other changes over the year; the yardline numbers no longer have the red shadowing, the endzone lettering is now totally bland, with only a thin red line around the letters (it used to have 3-D lettering, and then a thin red and black outline). It is amazing on what you don’t see. While I can deal with the bland endzone lettering and can even sacrifice the red on the yardage marks, but I WANT that GEORGIA G welcoming our guys into the endzone
I HATE ORANGE and GREEN notebooks
Editor, Dawgsports.com -- Sacrificing goats, chugging Maker's Mark, and walking underneath The Arch.
by RedCrake on Nov 4, 2011 1:30 PM EDT reply actions 1 recs
I just hope Arkansas can win.
I don’t know if I can go for Florida next week if it comes to that.
by Swarles_Barkley on Nov 4, 2011 1:47 PM EDT via iPhone app reply actions
Good gosh...
What a thought! C’mon you pigs!
"Uvarum, Uvarum Fit, Uvarum.... double Fit..."
- Augustus "Gus" McCrae
by Munson's_Marbles on Nov 4, 2011 1:52 PM EDT up reply actions
WOO PIG SOOIE

I HATE ORANGE and GREEN notebooks
by Dawg2011 on Nov 4, 2011 8:52 PM EDT up reply actions 5 recs
Figured I could make fun of the Hogs
and pull for them at the same time
I HATE ORANGE and GREEN notebooks
DANG IT TKK
I was hoping for an in-depth exploration of the high powered, often penalized, always on probation USC FRIDAY night game against Colorado. Has the Mighty Pac-12 reached the heights of the MAC and MWC with non-Saturday games?
I HATE ORANGE and GREEN notebooks
I'm looking forward the Buffalo beatdown...
Fight on!
/Seriously, I’m truly looking forward to the game, but I don’t expect anyone else to share my enthusiasm!
"Don't go ninja'n nobody that don't need ninja'n!" ~ Kung Fu Hillbilly.
No disrespect to the Trojans intended, Jman781.
Given the magnitude of Alabama-LSU nationally, and the magnitude of Arkansas-South Carolina Bulldog Nationally, I just couldn’t find it in me to focus on any non-SEC outings.
Manager, Dawg Sports, SB Nation's Georgia Bulldogs weblog.
Go 'Dawgs!
I just switched over to the USC game, and caught a glimpse of the Song Girls.
That significantly spiked my interest in this game. (The Rose Bowl between Southern California and Texas, pitting the Song Girls against the chaps-wearing Longhorn cheerleaders, remains one of the best tests for gauging one’s preference in the good-girl-v.-bad-girl debate this side of Salma Hayek’s stripteases in “Dogma” and “From Dusk Till Dawn.”)
Ralphie, on the other hand, remains one of the most vastly overrated college football mainstays. I saw her in Athens in 2006; I was unimpressed.
Manager, Dawg Sports, SB Nation's Georgia Bulldogs weblog.
Go 'Dawgs!
Logan Gray just got a personal foul called on him against the men of Troy
I guess he is frustrated that he is not Colorado’s designated fair catch specialist.
He just got ANOTHER one called
Two personal fouls in less than ten minutes.
I am VERY happy that our defense has cut down on it’s penalties, personal foul calls included. I used to watch the field for flags, especially after a third down stops. I hope they can keep it up.
Epic...
hysterical, insightful, gotta read. Rec’d. Take it on the road son (tackle the other conferences)!
Go pigs indeed…Eat More Chiken.
I will root for Alabama or Ohio State if they play the Chinese...maybe.
I will root for Auburn if they play Al Qaida, Hamas or the Phillies
LSU v. Bama
Since I strongly believe that Sakerlina is going to gakk up the rest of their season so badly that even we can’t keep from winning the East, I’m rooting for the team that’s going to be the easiest for us to handle in Atlanta. That’s clearly, um, well, yeah. Sort of a Prisoner’s Dilemma now that I think about it.
I guess I’ll just root for whomever wins to get a team-wide case of dysentery the day before the SECCG.
hmmm
I wonder if you’re planning to help whoever wins the west acquire that team-wide case of dysentery……
Housemother & Editor at Dawg Sports
I can bake like a demon.

Editor, Dawgsports.com -- Sacrificing goats, chugging Maker's Mark, and walking underneath The Arch.
BTW
No one is having there way with the ox… so I assume that means LSU is going to emerge from Saturday’s game.
Editor, Dawgsports.com -- Sacrificing goats, chugging Maker's Mark, and walking underneath The Arch.

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