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Don't Bet On It!: Week Five College Football Forecasts Around the SEC

It was bad enough that I missed an obvious joke when composing the headline for my recent defense of Mark Richt (which, by the way, apparently makes mine the minority view). However, I also posted a 3-3 record in last week’s SEC forecasts to drop my 2010 prognosticating record in league outings to 26-6. That may put me on the hot seat, particularly since I can’t very well blame MaconDawg for being too predictable on Cocktail Thursday, but, for now, I will content myself with issuing my usual disclaimer: Don’t Bet On It!

This week’s Southeastern Conference contests all will be played on Saturday, October 2. These are they:

Alcorn St. Braves at Mississippi St. Bulldogs: It’s been a disappointing September for the folks who frequent SB Nation Atlanta, and no two teams in North Georgia have given their fans more frustration than the Atlanta Braves and the Georgia Bulldogs. Accordingly, many of you may find disconcerting the notion of having to watch the Braves and the Bulldogs play simultaneously. Don’t worry, though; this game features neither those Braves nor those Bulldogs. Instead, it features a group of Bulldogs who have proven they know how to win a game in Starkville.

ULM Warhawks at Auburn Tigers: Let me get this straight . . . Auburn’s football team is called the Tigers, but the fans’ battle cry is "War Eagle!", and the program’s mascot is an eagle named "Tiger." Does that mean that Louisiana-Monroe’s football team is called the Warhawks, but the fans’ battle cry is "Tiger!", and the program’s mascot is a tiger named "Warhawk"? Rather than try to keep all that straight, can I just say the Plainsmen are going to beat the Indians and be done with it?

Kentucky Wildcats at Mississippi Rebels: Between them, these two teams boast two of the conference’s top four scoring offenses and two of the league’s bottom three scoring defenses. I suspect the points put up by the ‘Cats and the Rebs are a bit of a chimera, given their respective schedules. (Georgia, for instance, averages over 24 points per game on offense, but 55 of the 97 points the Bulldogs have scored this season came against Louisiana-Lafayette, illustrating the point of the joke about the three statisticians who went hunting together and spotted a deer in a clearing. The first statistician shot at it, missing three feet to the right. The second statistician shot at it, missing three feet to the left. The third statistician jumped up and said, "I hit it!") I don’t believe in Kentucky, but I believe in Ole Miss even less, so I’m going with the Wildcats.

Star-divide

Vanderbilt Commodores at Connecticut Huskies: Every time I think of homespun Robbie Caldwell taking his team to the Nutmeg State, I find myself hoping that the Vanderbilt skipper will bring two members of his coaching staff with him to the pregame press conference and offer the local media an introduction that includes the phrase, "I’m Robbie, this is my assistant Darrell, and this is my other assistant Darrell." Unfortunately, there are no Darrells on the Commodore coaching staff, and there will be no Vandy victory over the Huskies in Storrs.

Tennessee Volunteers at LSU Tigers: The Bayou Bengals have scored 69 of their 106 points in the first half, while 31 of the 48 points they have allowed have been scored after intermission. The Big Orange has put 103 ticks on the scoreboard in regulation play this autumn, posting 59 of them before the break, and the 108 points Tennessee has spotted the opposition featured 81 tallied after halftime. Something’s got to give when two teams whose offenses and defenses both appear to decline after 30 minutes of play face off on the gridiron. Maybe it’s because I strongly suspect that Les Miles will spend the second half staring longingly across the field while thinking he wouldn’t have to wear such a huge hat if only he had hair like Derek’s, but I can’t shake the feeling that "Dooley’s Junkyard Vols" are about to score an SEC upset on the road. (Before anyone brings up the fact that Tennessee needed double-overtime to beat UAB, I’d just like to point out that beating the Blazers ought to be an achievement Louisiana State respects.)

Florida Gators at Alabama Crimson Tide: This is it! This is the showdown! This is the big one! This is the clash of the titans! This is . . . oh, for crying out loud, have you watched a football game since Labor Day weekend of last year? The Tide will roll.

Those are my predictions for this week’s SEC slate, but please bear in mind that I have no idea what the heck I’m talking about a good deal of the time, so, whatever you do, . . . Don’t Bet On It!

Coming Soon: National Games of Interest.

Go ‘Dawgs!

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I’d just like to point out that beating the Blazers ought to be an achievement Louisiana State respects.

by vineyarddawg on Sep 27, 2010 10:15 PM EDT reply actions  

I honestly felt bad for that bear. It was a touch funny, but then I realized the bear was scared as hell.

"One thing I will never do as long as I’m at Georgia is lose to Florida." - Herschel Walker

by tankertoad on Sep 28, 2010 3:26 AM EDT up reply actions  

If it makes you feel better...

… the bear was probably so tranquilized that he/she wasn’t aware of the sensation of falling or even hitting the ground.

If you look closely, the things in the picture that look like bits of a branch that has just snapped off are actually dead leaves that were rustled and scraped off as the trank’ed bear fell off the limb. (You can actually see dead leaves still on the tree in the background.)

In typical situations like that, when an animal like a small bear finds his way into a populated area, animal control is called, tranquilizes the bear, and tends to any medical needs it might have before releasing it safely into a wild area. So even if the unconscious bear was injured upon hitting the ground, his injuries would have been tended, and he would have been released into a safe area, to go about happily living his live without encountering a situation that was too much to bear.

by vineyarddawg on Sep 28, 2010 3:40 AM EDT up reply actions  

If you prefer, though...

… i can use this one:

Or one of these:

by vineyarddawg on Sep 28, 2010 3:52 AM EDT up reply actions  

That first one

is great.

______________________________________________
I will give my North Carolina for Tennessee Today. Apparently.

by bobothevol on Sep 28, 2010 8:24 AM EDT up reply actions  

I saw the video - this looked like the trampoline bear

"One thing I will never do as long as I’m at Georgia is lose to Florida." - Herschel Walker

by tankertoad on Sep 28, 2010 1:37 PM EDT up reply actions  

just fyi

the huskies play in east hartford these days, not storrs.

Roll 'Bama Roll: The Champagne of 'Bama Blogs.

by kleph on Sep 28, 2010 7:39 AM EDT reply actions  

Kyle, I'm usually impressed...

…with your understanding that as a Georgia fan, the last thing you want to do is count Florida out. You were very generous with Florida during their completely unimpressive performances for the first two weeks of the season, but now you’ve slipped up. You’ve got to believe Georgia just lost any chance of upsetting Florida this year. As a Bulldog friend of mine said to me recently: if Georgia went 1-11 and the 1 win was against Florida, Georgians would remember it as a great year.

by BarryMiS on Sep 29, 2010 4:52 PM EDT reply actions  

Your Bulldog friend must be 25 years old or younger.

Those of us for whom Georgia’s 15-4 run over Florida from 1971 to 1989 is as much a part of our personal experience as Florida’s 17-3 run over Georgia from 1990 to 2009 realize that this series has always been typified by long streaks for both teams before the pendulum swings back in the other direction.

Georgia and Florida both have played one good game and three bad games this year. The Bulldogs happen to have played a significantly better caliber of competition; the Florida team that took the field for the first three Saturdays of the season wouldn’t have beaten South Carolina or Arkansas, either.

I by no means concede a Gator victory in Jacksonville this year, and a 1-11 season would be an abject disaster, no matter against whom the lone win came. For instance, Georgia’s 1-5 season in 1904 was not redeemed by the fact that the Red and Black’s only win was a 52-0 victory over Florida.

I picked Florida to lose on the road to the consensus No. 1 team in the nation. I also conceded (as I do twice in each predictions posting) that I frequently am wrong about my forecasts. If that strikes you as dissing the Gators, I don’t know what to tell you.

My pick has absolutely nothing to do with how well or poorly Georgia is playing, and I resent any suggestion to the contrary.

Go 'Dawgs!

by T Kyle King on Sep 29, 2010 7:20 PM EDT up reply actions  

clearly a misunderstanding...

I was teasing you for going so easy on Florida the first couple weeks (as did most Georgia fans I know as a matter of policy because they feared bad karma from doing otherwise) before throwing Florida under the bus against Bama. I was not suggesting that how well or poorly Georgia is playing influenced your pick.

by BarryMiS on Sep 29, 2010 11:36 PM EDT up reply actions  

My bad, Barry.

I apologize for overreacting. It hasn’t been the best of weeks in Bulldog Nation, but that’s not justification for biting your head off.

Sorry my sense of humor isn’t where it needs to be. Mea culpa.

Go 'Dawgs!

by T Kyle King on Sep 30, 2010 7:45 AM EDT up reply actions  

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