Dawgs Need to Reverse the Momentum this Halloween or the Streak May Get Really Ugly.
Is 2010 the year of the Dawg? The Chinese calendar seems to indicate otherwise. Tiger? Ouch. The Dawgs face 2 separate squads of Tigers in 2010 – Auburn and Idaho State (although I’m still not too sure what Auburn’s “official” mascot is, with all the War Eagle! Plainsman, etc.) At least Clemson hasn’t rolled back onto the schedule yet and LSU isn’t into the western divisions rotation either, or else the 2010 outlook might appear less than shiny, at least by Chinese standards. I might also point out that Idaho State’s symbol looks just a little too familiar to those residing in the Bayou, wouldn’t you say?
Regardless of lunar calendar designations, UGA sits in a pretty attractive position as far as this year’s Southeastern Conference’s Eastern Division is concerned. Tennessee and Kentucky are both transitioning to new head coaches, and while Vandy may strike fear in their opponents in college bowl competitions, they certainly don’t do the same on the gridiron. Although some prognosticators may feel that South Carolina can finally make a run in the East, I firmly believe it is a 2 team race: Florida and Georgia. Which naturally means that the biggest game on either team’s schedule, should be the one played Saturday, October 30, 2010 in Jacksonville, Florida. Florida/Georgia. Or as those around here like to call it – Georgia/Florida. I’m still on board with the World’s Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party despite the wishes of the schools’ brass. One thing I will never call this game is "The Battle for the Okefenokee Oar," as I’ll leave that nonsense to the Big Ten Eleven Twelve TEN! or whatever they call themselves now. But I have the date circled on my calendar, and I believe you should too.
Tebow has graduated, and a large percentage of Florida’s fearsome defense of the past 2 seasons has moved on – either to the NFL, the Alachua County court system, or elsewhere. Nonetheless, these talented defenders will no longer be tackling players donning the storied UGA “G” on their headgear. Gone also are Riley Cooper, Markice Pouncey and Aaron Hernandez. Let’s be clear here, the Gators are clearly in a rebuilding year. The last time this occurred was 2007. The Gators were coming off a 13-1 season (and national title), but lost a lot of talent to the NFL. A new starting QB was taking over the offense and there were a plethora of talented, but young faced on the defensive side of the ball. As you all know, the Dawgs stormed the field after their first TD and rode the momentum (along with their workhorse RB Knowshon Moreno) to a convincing 42-30 win over the Gators.
Besides all that, history should be on the side of the Bulldogs. Kyle has pointed out often enough the tendencies of this rivalry with regard to the “streak of 19”, which has been a truly amazing phenomenon, whether you admit it or not. I’ve gone on record in this blog predicting that 2010 is the next year that Georgia takes down the Gators. I hope I am wrong, but I think the chances are at least 50/50. It looks like UGA’s season will rest squarely on the shoulders of young Aaron Murray, a quarterback the Gators badly wanted to wear the orange and blue. Murray will have his old high school teammate Orson Charles to target, in addition to a pair of talented veteran WRs in AJ Green and Tavarres King.
It’s not ALL lined up perfectly for the Dawgs. The Gators will have the advantage of the open date before the WLOCP, while UGA will be playing for the ninth straight week. We all know that even the most durable teams get nicked up over the course of that many games. Also, despite all the question marks on both sides of the ball, the Gators are loaded with young talent. Quarterback John Brantley has yet to start a college football game, yet many project him as being amongst the best in the conference. Some homers have even mentioned Brantley’s name in a Heisman article. I hope he lives up to half that level of hype, but I’d kind of like to see Brantley play some football against some starters first. I’m looking forward to enjoying this year’s version of the Border War (can that be another name for the game?). I think the pressure is really on UGA to get a win before these guys mature and get some experience. Another loss this fall would make Coach Mark Richt's record 2-8 against Florida. Sooner or later, the UGA faithful will demand a change at the top. Richt has done well against all other SEC opponents as TKK shows in this article. But in the same article, Kyle admits:
Many critics claim that the major blemish on Coach Richt’s record is his lack of a national championship, but this is not the case. By far the worst deficiency to be found in Coach Richt’s resume is his singular lack of success against the Sunshine State Saurians. Where Georgia’s championship chances are concerned, the road from Athens to Atlanta (and beyond) runs through Jacksonville.
When, and only when, balance is restored to the World’s Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party will higher achievements become possible; the days are gone when the Red and Black can lose to the Gators yet still win the East. Division, conference, and national championships will remain unattainable dreams as long as Florida occupies the upper hand in the rivalry. If this problem continues to remain uncorrected, it could overwhelm Mark Richt’s otherwise very successful career in the same way the inability to beat Michigan overshadowed every other achievement of John Cooper’s stewardship of the Ohio State program.
This Gator believes that 2010 could really be the "Year of the Dawg" and cool whatever heat might be creeping up on Richt. But get your licks in this year SEC, because when we add Andre Dubose (UF’s top offensive recruit last year, who missed the entire 2009 season with injury) to what is already one of the best classes ever, I’m thinking the Gators will be pretty tough to beat again in 2011, 2012 and beyond.
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Nice job
A win in Jax this year would also go a LONG way toward restoring some recruiting ability in the state of Florida. I think Murray will be better than most expect, I just hope the defense is as well.
Florida obviously has what is projected to be a great class to build upon, but with a win, UGA can also pull in some great classes and close the gap in talent on the field.
I think "May Get" is the wrong tense
Considering that this is a major rebuilding year for Florida, I do think we could make it to Atlanta without beating you guys, as we did in ‘02 and ’05. I think either one — East Champ with a loss to Florida, or a win over Florida (plus at least 8 other regular season wins) would signal a successful season to me. If neither happens this year . . . well, it’s not going to get any easier next year.
Leaving insightful football commentary and analysis to other people since 2006.
Dangit...
… pessimism is our tool designed to produce victory, not yours!
Seriously, though, nice job. I predict that “The Battle for the Okefenokee Oar” will catch on right about the time I decide to change my loyalty over to the Saurians. (Have I ever mentioned how I feel about Florida?)
I'm not sure I'm clear
on your feelings about florida =)
"Never refuse to do a kindness unless the act would work great injury to yourself, and never refuse to take a drink- under any circumstances." Mark Twain
I hate Florida so much...
… that if I ever met this guy:

He would put a Gators logo inside a Gators logo so I could hate Florida while I was hating Florida.
I'll start using the term . . .
if allowed to use the actual oar on the ESPN personality of my choice. Seriously. Twenty bucks for one oar whack upside Lee, Kirk, Desmond, Dr. Lou, or Marky Mark’s head. Say it with me: Profit. Potential. This is marketing synergy on a global scale, Worldwide Leader. Let’s circle back around on this one soon.
/heads back to Dunder Mifflin.
The Okefenokee Oar...
… is 10 feet long and looks as if it weighs several hundred pounds.
So, in other words, I fully support your idea.
I want the option
to whack the SEC referee of my choice (Penn Wagers anyone?)
"Never refuse to do a kindness unless the act would work great injury to yourself, and never refuse to take a drink- under any circumstances." Mark Twain
The last time I checked
The Okefenokee is OUR house!
There’s a Gator season for a reason..
And, until they start drinking from oars,
it’s STILL TWLOCP.
HIT SOMEBODY!
Dawg Up!
by please before I die, Falcons on Jul 7, 2010 4:44 PM EDT reply actions
The best take I have on the WLOCP right now
is that we are much more evenly matched than last year ) It should be an interesting game.
and I am not buying into 2011 or 2012 is UFs years – we should both be improved those years. I think this annual meeting will continue to be the road to Atlanta, likely for both teams.
nice post skigator93
"One thing I will never do as long as I’m at Georgia is lose to Florida." - Herschel Walker
I agree with you that UF will be loaded with talent for the foreseeable future, but our boys should be even better in 2011 than they are this season. Murray will have a full season under his belt, the O-line should still be loaded… actually the offense in general will still be loaded even though we’ll lose AJ (which will no doubt hurt). And our boys on the defense should have a pretty firm grasp on the 3-4 by then. If Grantham and staff turn out to be as good as we think they’ll be, our defense should improve dramatically from the last several years. And if I’m not mistaken, we’ll still have Butler and Walsh handling the kicking duties.
Florida will continue to be a beast as long as Urbs is still around, but I’m with tankertoad in thinking we’ll still have a pretty good shot in ’11 and ’12.
We gotta get this thing turned around at some point, though.
Enjoyed your post
Florida will always have great talent. So will Georgia. In any given recruiting cycle, one team might sign a few more “5 stars” than the other, but in the end 85 young men will suit up, and the best of the 85 will play. That wasn’t always the case with our former DC, but will be with our new one. Maybe Florida reels in a class that is 3, 4 or 5 places higher every year, maybe not. Is the talent gap really ever wide? Yes, you’re getting Andre Dubose back, but he’s one player. Collectively, the talent is on-par year after year. Throw in the “20-30 year player” like Herschel or Tebow and then you have something.
The next few years may or may not begin to balance out this rivalry. When it comes to Georgia-Florida, my expectations are tempered regardless of the record of either team entering the game.
But I think that we do have a chance to even the score a bit and if Grantham’s defense comes together, maybe we can start a little run of success of our own. It comes down to coaching and schemes…and a little luck as both teams can attest to over the years. Until things change, psychology favors the Gators. This cannot be overstated and worries more more than anything. It comes down to coaching and Florida clearly has had the edge, particularly when comparing defensive strategy, IMO.
I’m thinking that the Dawgs will be pretty tough to be in 2010 and beyond. Can they beat Florida? Yes they can. Will they? I’ll get back to you on Halloween.
"If we score, we may win. If they never score, we'll never lose."
-Erk Russell
My reason for optimism for 2011 & 2012
I notice a strong similarity for this year’s defense to that of our 2007 squad. Following the 2006 season when Florida lost a slew of players from its stout defense (allowed 189 points, 13.5 PPG), UF had the top recruiting class in 2007 which included several talented defensive players (Ahmad Black, Major Wright, Joe Haden, Carlos Dunlap, Brandon Hicks, etc.). But those players saw extensive action as freshman and it showed – UF allowed 331 points in 2007 (25.4 PPG).
Last year’s squad allowed 174 points (12.4 PPG) but we lost a ton of players. This year’s top receruiting class was heavily skewed toward defense (all four of our 5-star players are defensive players). I think all 4 of those players (Easley, Elam, Powell & Floyd) will see extensive action this season and I’m sure they’ll take plenty of lumps despite their raw talent. So I am assuming our defense will be much better in 2011 and 2012 than this coming season. Of course, like Murray, Brantley will have a year of SEC experience under his belt, as will his young receiving corrps. But my thoughts on future seasons are based solely on my own defensive projections. Historically, the Gators are much better when our defense is solid than when we merely try to out gunsling our opponents.
Finally, I know that Dubose is only one player – but he was a 5-star recruit who didn’t play a down, so it’s just like having another 5-star guy coming in with this year’s class.
How many more days until opening kickoff?!?!
I have only one comment regarding this line:
Historically, the Gators are much better when our defense is solid than when we merely try to out gunsling our opponents.
You can replace “Gators” with any team mascot in college football history, and that statement will remain true.
Nice posting, skigator93. It’s nice to get a reasonable perspective from the other side of the aisle.
Go 'Dawgs!
I think that's reasonable as far as the players go...
But there are two potential problems I see: (1) Charlie and (2) Strong.
These last years have taught us Athenians not to underestimate the value of good coaching. Our players were waaaaay better than our defense under Martinez. For UF, ya’ll missed Mullen last year and it showed. I think you might miss Strong this year in a big way. I’m thrilled that he’s gone.
I have a theory that players act on a program through addition or subtraction. Coaches, on the other hand, have a multiplying effect. The multiplier is very close to 1, but any significant departure from 1 affects the team greatly.
by first and thom on Jul 8, 2010 4:39 PM EDT up reply actions
Excellent point
I meant to specifically mention the effect losing Strong might have on our defense, but I simply forgot to type it!! We were extremely lucky that it took this long for another program to give Strong a head coaching opportunity. As far as offense, I am more inclined to say that Adazzio is THAT bad instead of saying that Mullen is THAT good. Adazzio was simply afraid to throw the ball downfield last season. I really hope he gets over that because he can’t run Brantley up the middle every other play like he did with Tebow!!
You're a class act, skigator93.
It’s nice to converse with you.
by first and thom on Jul 9, 2010 11:27 AM EDT up reply actions
"or the Streak May Get Really Ugly"
You might not have been paying attention the last 20 years, but we’re already there, brother. This thing is about as ugly as it can get.
http://hobnailboot.wordpress.com/

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