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Don't Bet On It!: Week 13 College Football Forecasts Around the SEC

The SEC Championship Game pairing has been set and the final week of regular-season competition in the conference is upon us. Thanks to a 5-1 record in last week’s predictions (which came within a single-score double-overtime setback of being 6-0), I have gone 48-10 in SEC forecasts this season. Such a successful streak cannot continue, so, if you haven’t abandoned all faith in my prognosticating skills already, now would be a good time to heed my weekly advice: Don’t Bet On It!

All of this week’s outings involving SEC squads will be played on Saturday, November 27, unless otherwise noted:

Wake Forest Demon Deacons at Vanderbilt Commodores: This matchup might make for a decent basketball game or an exceptional college bowl showdown, but, on the gridiron, it’s just a clash between two teams sporting 2-9 overall ledgers and 1-7 conference marks. Unfortunately, the Deacs are going to get the win, prompting ACC fans to boast that their worst team is better than our worst team.

Kentucky Wildcats at Tennessee Volunteers: Derek Dooley’s Junkyard Vols have momentum, if by "momentum" you mean "the ability to beat enough of the crappy teams on their schedule to have a shot at a .500 record and bowl-eligibility." (Hey, I’m a Georgia fan, so I’m not knocking that or anything!) Even though Tennessee has struggled in several recent seasons, one indignity that has yet to befall the Big Orange is a loss to the Wildcats. I have yet to be given a reason to believe the Volunteers will lose to Kentucky in Neyland Stadium.

Mississippi St. Bulldogs at Mississippi Rebels: I love the fact that there is a football game played in the vicinity of Thanksgiving called the Egg Bowl. It reminds me of the family holiday gathering at my parents’ house many years ago at which there were two bowls of deviled eggs, and my uncle, noting that there was one deviled egg left in each bowl, pointed out that, if someone consolidated the two bowls into one, someone would eat one of the two remaining deviled eggs, but no one was going to be rude enough to eat the last deviled egg in either bowl. I’m pretty sure that same well-mannered attitude will be prevalent among the Ole Miss faithful in the Grove before they watch the Rebels fall to the Bulldogs.

Star-divide

Florida Gators at Florida St. Seminoles: The Sunshine State Saurians are enduring their worst season under the current coaching regime. The Seminoles have a new coach, a new attitude, a rejuvenated program, and home field advantage. Why is it, then, that I just can’t seem to shake the sense that this is just the sort of "put up or shut up" game for which Urban Meyer invariably does his best coaching? Admittedly, Coach Meyer has come up short a couple of times recently in big games against Nick Saban, and Jimbo Fisher is a disciple of the Armani Bear, but so was Derek Dooley, and that didn’t seem to stop the Gators from beating the Volunteers, did it? I’ll be rooting for Florida State, but I’m picking Florida.

South Carolina Gamecocks at Clemson Tigers: The Palmetto State Poultry are playing focused, disciplined, fundamentally sound football in November. Yeah, that weirds me out, too, but the Gamecocks have a chance to make 2010 arguably the best season in school history, and I doubt if South Carolina is going to squander the opportunity to sweep all four major rivals in a single autumn.

LSU Tigers at Arkansas Razorbacks: I’ve got nothing. Seriously, I have no clue. In a season in which little has made sense, there may be no two teams in the conference whose success has made less sense than these two, but here they are. The Hogs would appear to have many advantages on their side, but I’m not picking against Les Miles and that magic hat, which I am increasingly convinced contains the rodent chef from "Ratatouille." Somehow, some way, the Bayou Bengals will find a way to win a game they probably shouldn’t.

Auburn Tigers at Alabama Crimson Tide (Friday, Nov. 26): A part of me would like to see the Plainsmen go undefeated and have every one of their victories vacated by the NCAA in the offseason, but what I would like even better is for Auburn to lose and for Georgia to begin next season against the defending national champion Boise St. Broncos, so I’m going with hope over experience and picking the Tide to roll in the Iron Bowl.

Those, my friends, are your SEC games this week and my forecasts for them, but surely you know by now that you should not take my predictions seriously. In case you haven’t yet come to that realization, though, I will offer my usual disclaimer as a friendly reminder. When it comes to my prognostications, whatever you do . . . Don’t Bet On It!

Coming soon: National games of interest.

Go ‘Dawgs!

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"Ratatouille" explanation

Best one I’ve seen yet for LSU this year.

by NMdawg on Nov 22, 2010 1:13 AM EST reply actions  

Maybe you're not perfect.

But you would have provided me a better return over the season than the stock market…maybe next year I’ll give that route a shot. Who cares about the mortgage payment? Lets bet the 401(k).

If LSU was going to be in Baton Rouge, I’d say definitely LSU. In Little Rock, who knows?

I think Florida’s burnt out right now. They summoned up just enough gumption to beat Georgia in a nailbiter halfway through, but FSU beats them in Tallahassee.

by mbrd71 on Nov 22, 2010 3:03 PM EST reply actions  

Oh, and if the Vandy-WF game wasn't an SEC-ACC matchup...

I’d nominate it for your national game of disinterest.

by mbrd71 on Nov 22, 2010 3:05 PM EST up reply actions  

If I bet on college football

I would do really well. Unless I bet on Georgia, in which case I would fail miserably. I would have lost $1k on the CU game, which is fundamentally why I don’t bet on sports.

"One thing I will never do as long as I’m at Georgia is lose to Florida." - Herschel Walker

by tankertoad on Nov 22, 2010 3:44 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

Re: Auburn and vacated wins. From experience with those other Tigers,

even after they are found guilty of cheating, the NCAA doesn’t make them take down the banners. I suspect the Plainstigles are also shameless enough to boast about their cheating and ill-gotten victories for three or four decades.

"They've just discovered a new use for sheep over there at Clemson... wool." - Lewis Grizzard

by GwinnettGamecock on Nov 23, 2010 2:00 AM EST reply actions   1 recs

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