Navigation: Jump to content areas:


Pro Quality. Fan Perspective.
Login-facebook
Around SBN: UEFA Champions League 2012: Chelsea Wins on Penalties

Don't Bet On It!: Week Eight College Football Forecasts for the National Games of Interest

Yesterday, we went around the SEC, so now it is time for us to turn to the national games of interest. My 3-2 record in last week’s nationwide forecasts doomed me to carry a 23-13 non-SEC record for the season into this weekend. At this point, I shouldn’t even have to warn you, but I will, anyway: Don’t Bet On It!

The following games all will be played on Saturday, October 23:

Air Force Falcons at TCU Horned Frogs: As college football games go, this ought to be a pretty good one, but, as mascot incongruities go, this one is awfully odd. Maybe this is just me, but the first thing that popped into my head when I thought of the Falcons and the Frogs was Timothy Hutton using his job at the Black Vault to obtain classified information, which he then passed along to Sean Penn with instructions to deliver it to a KGB agent code-named Simon Wheeler, who accepted the proffered information, then proceeded to relate a lengthy story about Jim Smiley and his jumping frog, Dan’l Webster, after which Hutton poured lead shot into the mouth of his pet falcon, attempted unsuccessfully to release the weighed-down bird in a field, and sat down to await the arrival of U.S. marshals and Calaveras County deputy sheriffs to take him into custody. Yeah, that’s probably just me. In any event, I’m picking Texas Christian in this one.

Nebraska Cornhuskers at Oklahoma St. Cowboys: Fans in Lincoln are rewriting R.E.M. songs to suit their mood, because, in their view, it’s not the end of the world as they know it, and they don’t feel fine. Given the state of the Cornhuskers’ psyche, I would be inclined to side with the Pokes in Stillwater, but I can’t get past this fact: Oklahoma State has cobbled together its 6-0 record by beating six teams ranked outside the top 100 nationally in pass defense. You read that correctly; every opponent the Cowboys have beaten fields one of the 20 worst pass defenses in Division I-A. I have to think a mad Nebraska squad will be able to buck that trend.

Star-divide

Michigan St. Spartans at Northwestern Wildcats: These two teams compete in rivalry games for the Land Grant Trophy, the Land of Lincoln Trophy, the Megaphone Trophy, the Old Brass Spittoon, the Paul Bunyan Trophy, and the Sweet Sioux Tomahawk, but none of those trinkets will be on the line this Saturday. In fact, there is no mildewed hunk of driftwood fished from the debris ringing an abandoned scow floating aimlessly on Lake Michigan, no rusted-out pail with a hole in the bottom found dangling at the end of a fraying rope suspended from the rotting timbers of the entrance to a forgotten mine shaft in one or the other of the two Arcadia Townships, and no moldy pair of wadded boxer shorts plucked from the lint trap of a decaying Joliet laundromat at stake this Saturday, as this game is that rarest of rarities: a Big Ten football game played in the second half of the season in which the battle offers only meaningless championship implications, unimportant bowl ramifications, and hollow bragging determinations, but no tangible prize better suited for a low-rent garage sale, tourist-targeted roadside stand, or despondent afternoon spent rummaging through a deceased elderly relative’s attic than for a major college football game. Too bad for the Spartans that they’re going to go home empty-handed after winning such an inconsequential contest.

Wisconsin Badgers at Iowa Hawkeyes: Yep, you guessed it . . . there’s some sort of nicknack or piece of bric-a-brac up for grabs in this one, as the two teams will compete for the Heartland Trophy, a brass bull that changes hands annually. Through 85 series meetings, the Hawkeyes hold a narrow 42-41-2 edge over the Badgers, so this is one Big Ten victory marker I’m not going to mock. How could I? These are two storied programs with a longstanding rivalry that is as close as close can be, so I have to be respectful toward such a venerable trophy, which dates all the way back to . . . 2004? Did I read that correctly? Yes, I read that correctly: Iowa and Wisconsin, who will not be protected rivals when the league begins divisional play next year, have squared off in six trophy games in a series that dates back to 1894. Yeah, when your victory trophy is younger than my older child, you should expect me to make fun of this silliness. Iowa is going to win the game, but my respect for Kirk Ferentz will plummet if he doesn’t roll his eyes, sigh, and (in the argot of the blogosphere) MDWM when accepting the hokey Heartland Trophy.

Oklahoma Sooners at Missouri Tigers: Could this be a preview of the Big 12 Championship Game? Both clubs roll into this game sporting undefeated records, and, with Alabama and Ohio State having gone down to defeat in the last two weeks, the race for the top spot suddenly is wide open. The winner of this game automatically is anointed as the conference frontrunner and vaulted into contention for a whole lot more. With so much on the line for both teams, what . . . oh, stop it, already. We all know the Sooners are going to win this one.

Those are my takes, for whatever they might be worth, but, as you know, they aren’t worth a whole lot. Accordingly, while I hope you derived a degree of entertainment from the foregoing forecasts, you should not mistake what you gleaned from my prognostications for enlightenment. In any case, this much should be clear: whatever you do, . . . Don’t Bet On It!

Coming Soon: National Game of Disinterest.

Go ‘Dawgs!

Comment 10 comments  |  0 recs  | 

Do you like this story?

Comments

Display:

I'm going to go on record for calling an upset...

Air Force over TCU. The falcons will be looking to bounce back from their fluke loss last week and TCU will assume that they will sail through. I’m not betting money on it because the prediction is completely based on reality and logic, just calling it.

by mbrd71 on Oct 20, 2010 12:36 PM EDT reply actions  

Off topic, Kyle, but it bears mentioning!

Each week you’ve hoisted the banner of “can’t spell Grantham without GATA,” we’re 3-0. Additionally, the opponent is averaging 7 points, 180 yards and 2.7 turnovers a game.

Yes, one could argue the games we’ve won by an average margin of 39.3 points/game were won against lesser opponents. However, Florida (FTG) stats against Miami (OH), UK and Tenn is: 14.3 points, 276.7 yards and 4 turnovers a game. ’Bama’s stats against San Jose State (seriously!?!?), Duke and Ole Miss are: 8.7 points, 240 yards and 1 turnover per game. (BTW, ’Bama gave up 302 yards against DUKE!).

The point margins for Florida (FTG!) and ’Bama against lesser opponents: 23.3 and 35.7 pts/game, respectively.

This week’s game against UK will be telling, but I do believe CMR has done the right thing bringing physicality back to the Dawgs’ practice, and CTG’s scheme is taking root.

Disclaimer: Obviously, I did not take our losses into account, regardless of the “competitiveness” of the victors of those contests. But, comparing UGA’s wins to UF’s (FTG) and ’Bama’s opponents is as close to equivalent as one can get.

Forget GATA=PTA (my lame ass post from last week)! CTG said it best: KTMFD!!!

If you're gonna do it, go ugly early.

by Inteljumper on Oct 20, 2010 12:52 PM EDT reply actions  

While I didn't have the stats to back that up, . . .

. . . I had, in fact, noticed the effect of this year’s usual header on the team’s won-lost record. That, by the way, is why I have not changed it; you don’t mess with a streak.

Go 'Dawgs!

by T Kyle King on Oct 20, 2010 1:46 PM EDT up reply actions  

I see what you did there

“You don’t mess with a streak, even you should know that.”

"One thing I will never do as long as I’m at Georgia is lose to Florida." - Herschel Walker

by tankertoad on Oct 20, 2010 5:53 PM EDT up reply actions  

shoot – I think it’s more like “You dont mess with a streak, you especially should know that.”

Hey – lot of stuff in my head to remember.

"One thing I will never do as long as I’m at Georgia is lose to Florida." - Herschel Walker

by tankertoad on Oct 20, 2010 5:54 PM EDT up reply actions  

I don't even want to mention

that streaks are happening lest it jinx the thing.

I can bake like a demon.

by podunkdawg on Oct 20, 2010 6:05 PM EDT up reply actions  

I love that movie, both on its merits . . .

. . . and because it was the first movie I went to see as a student in Athens.

Go 'Dawgs!

by T Kyle King on Oct 20, 2010 7:32 PM EDT up reply actions  

Greatest baseball, and possibly sports, movie of all time.

And Kyle, never meant to insinuate you weren’t aware of the streak…I just found the stats, once I got looking at them, to be astounding!

That said, the UK game will show us how real the Dawg D is. UK did a good number on SCAR’s D, which I thought was the best in the SEC.

If you're gonna do it, go ugly early.

by Inteljumper on Oct 20, 2010 8:30 PM EDT up reply actions  

We're good.

I didn’t take you to be insinuating anything; I’d just noticed it, too, but I was aware only of the wins and losses, not the overall statistical comparison. That’s good stuff.

Go 'Dawgs!

by T Kyle King on Oct 20, 2010 8:47 PM EDT up reply actions  

Comments For This Post Are Closed


User Tools

Welcome to the SB Nation community devoted to the Georgia Bulldogs.

FanPosts

Community blog posts and discussion.

Recent FanPosts

Small
Another Misrepresented swamp dwelling critter
Small
Out Of Conference Football Scheduling
Beard_47_series_wins_and_42_points_in_2007_small
What Do You Think of the Dawg Sports YouTube Channel?
Small
Hudson Swafford gives the Dawgs...
Der_arch_small
Why Lacrosse Should be UGA's Next Varsity Sport
Small
1983 Sugar Bowl Dixie Beer
Beard_47_series_wins_and_42_points_in_2007_small
2012 NFL Draft Saturday Open Comment Thread
Killface_small
NFL Draft Open Thread, day 2
Stafford_at_the_blackout_small
Why being in the SEC IS the tradition that Georgia should honor most
Gameday_small
UGA/Missouri Tickets?

+ New FanPost All FanPosts >


Managers

Beard_47_series_wins_and_42_points_in_2007_small T Kyle King

017oa_small MaconDawg

Editors

Redstage_small DavetheDawg

Whistling_past_small NCT

434477_small vineyarddawg

Layfield_logo_small RedCrake

Hey-why-so-serious_small tankertoad

Podunkdawg_as_a_child_small podunkdawg

Dawggone_small Ludakit

Authors

28488_443996218101_804558101_5903592_3665419_n_small Spears

Small hailtogeorgia

Killface_small Mr. Sanchez

50questions-accountant_small The Quincy Carter of Accountants