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How the Mountain West Can Become an Automatic BCS Qualifier

The ongoing agitation for a playoff, while not without its intelligent and principled adherents, nevertheless is in some quarters largely a knee-jerk reaction born primarily of greed and envy. Last night’s Fiesta Bowl once again exposed the hypocrisy of this position, as two supposedly disheartened teams played their hearts out before two allegedly dejected fan bases who cheered lustily for what they knew was a great and important game. Why a sincere college football fan would gripe about the unfairness of it all when the alternative quite likely was watching another team get cremated by the Florida Gators while the Boise St. Broncos and TCU Horned Frogs went to Liberty Bowl-level contests is anyone’s guess. No one makes documentaries about second-round playoff losses.

Last night’s exciting duel in the desert produced both a loser and a question. The question is whether Boise State is close to shattering the glass ceiling on the Broncos’ encouraging and inevitable march to elite status in a sport that exemplifies American striving and advancement. The loser, obviously, is the Mountain West Conference, which had the opportunity to cap off a glorious bowl season for the league with an emphatic statement in support of its worthiness for inclusion as an automatic qualifier in the Bowl Championship Series. This the MWC failed to do, and, while this does not render the argument moot, it does make it easier for its application for admission to be denied.

Fortunately, there is a solution that addresses both problems. Boise State and the Mountain West are in positions which enable them to help one another. Here’s how:

Star-divide

The Mountain West, like the United States in the 1770s and the Confederacy (briefly) in the 1860s, was born of the secessionist impulse, as its most prominent member institutions broke away from the Western Athletic Conference to form a league of their own. (Please pardon the unfortunate turn of phrase at the end of the last sentence, although the film of the same name is worth recalling in the post-Tim Tebow era, because there’s no crying in football!) The WAC struggled, but it adapted and avoided becoming the new Big West.

As with Gus and Call at the start of "Lonesome Dove," it’s time to go on another raid.

The Mountain West currently consists of nine teams. The Air Force Falcons, BYU Cougars, Colorado St. Rams, New Mexico Lobos, San Diego St. Aztecs, TCU Horned Frogs, UNLV Rebels, Utah Utes, and Wyoming Cowboys form a lineup featuring three outstanding programs and arguably a couple of good ones but too many poor ones. The bottom feeders are dragging the MWC down. The best team in the conference in any given year is very, very good, but the worst team in the conference in any given year is very, very bad . . . worse than the Vanderbilt Commodores, worse than the Washington St. Cougars, worse even than the Notre Dame Fighting Irish.

There is very little the league can do to make New Mexico do something other than suck (although the revenue split from Texas Christian’s major bowl appearance ain’t going to hurt). As the Warren Court articulated when advocating "the principle that debate on public issues should be uninhibited, robust, and wide-open," the solution to bad speech isn’t to squelch it, it is to offset it with good speech. So it is with the weak sisters we inevitably find in every league.

The Mountain West is bottom-heavy, to a greater degree than any of the automatic BCS qualifying conferences. To make itself more top-heavy, the MWC needs to poach Boise State, along with the Fresno St. Bulldogs and Nevada Wolf Pack, from the WAC. That makes the Mountain West a twelve-team conference, allows the league to split into two divisions and establish a championship game, and makes the MWC an even more valuable property than it already is.

Yes, the WAC likely would fold, but there always is a price to progress. Thomas Edison was responsible for many job losses in the candlemaking industry, but that was a necessary cost of the invention of the light bulb. The addition of Boise State (with its 2-0 record in BCS bowls), Fresno State (with its reputation as a giant-killer), and Nevada (the in-state rival of current MWC member UNLV) to the mix would bolster both the league’s television profile and the largely accurate natural perception of its strength. There would be no serious argument that such a league did not deserve inclusion as the seventh major conference.

Is this a radical departure from what has come before? No more so than the Pac-10 bringing in the Arizona Wildcats and Arizona St. Sun Devils, the Big Ten bringing in the Penn St. Nittany Lions, the SEC bringing in the Arkansas Razorbacks and South Carolina Gamecocks, the Big Eight merging with the best of the Southwest Conference (well, the best of the Southwest Conference, and the Baylor Bears), or the ACC bringing in the Boston College Eagles, Miami Hurricanes, and Virginia Tech Hokies.

This is the new norm in college football. The distinction isn’t between the haves and have nots; the Mountain West and the WAC will be crying all the way to the bank over the fact that their inclusion among the haves is de facto rather than de jure (although it’s largely de jure, albeit with a formula). Conference USA and the MAC certainly do not feel the Horned Frogs’ pain.

The choice, rather, is between adaptation and extinction. By skimming the cream off the top of the Western Athletic Conference---a natural evolutionary act which merely repeats the historic event which gave birth to the league in the first place---the Mountain West Conference can take the final step. From fledgling league first formed in 1999 to major player in 2010 . . . the amazing aspect of the Mountain West’s rise to prominence is not its glacial slowness but its blazing swiftness. The sprint to the top is nearly complete. The journey of a thousand miles also ends with a single step.

Go ‘Dawgs!

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And that I think is the only real way they’ll make a serious push towards becoming an automatic qualifier as well.

by DrB on Jan 5, 2010 1:33 PM EST reply actions  

Great Job!

If only it would happen already.

GO BRONCOS!!

Boise State - The best in all the land (The "land" being Idaho, and large parts of California, Oregon, and Nevada.)

by Mikrino on Jan 5, 2010 3:08 PM EST reply actions  

I agree on expansion

It must happen by July 1, 2010 to count the new teams stats for the AQ Evaluation. The teams would join the MWC for the 2010 season, the final season of the 4 year BCS evaluation.

As a MWC guy, I only wan’t Boise State. I think TCU, Utah, Boise State, BYU and Air Force is strong enough at the top to outweigh the bottom. I’m sure that the MWC is crunching the evaluation numbers, and has a good idea on who they need and who they don’t.

If we do go to a 12 team conference, I’d take Houston, Fresno State and Boise State. We will find out withing the next 6 months what is going to happen.

by Michael Rueckert on Jan 5, 2010 3:19 PM EST reply actions  

This, of course, brings up the ever-present question...

… of how to split the conference into divisions. Here is a current map of the MWC:

Unfortunately, the natural east-west line that is pretty obvious when looking at the current conference map doesn’t split cleanly when adding the WAC schools. All of the WAC schools in question fall to the west of the dividing line, creating 7 on one side and 5 on the others.

The Utah schools are the closest in the West to the dividing line, but it would be silly to separate two schools that are 45 miles apart into different geographically-designated divisions. I would suggest placing Boise into the east, therefore, since it is only slightly further to the west than the Utah schools.

As a result, I present the following divisions:

Mountain West Eastern Division:
TCU
Boise St.
Air Force
Colorado St.
Wyoming
New Mexico

Mountain West Western Division:
Utah
BYU
Fresno State
UNLV
Nevada
San Diego State

by vineyarddawg on Jan 5, 2010 3:23 PM EST reply actions  

Subbing Houston for Nevada (as Michael suggests above) would solve that problem

Then, you could go with Air Force, Colorado State, Houston, New Mexico, Texas Christian, and Wyoming in the East and Boise State, Brigham Young, Fresno State, San Diego State, UNLV, and Utah in the West.

It’s weird to think of Wyoming as “East,” but there you have it. Plus which, with Nevada remaining in the WAC, there’s a chance that league could survive in a diminished form. (By “diminished form,” of course, I mean “WAC : Mountain West :: Conference USA : SEC :: MAC : Big Ten.”)

Go 'Dawgs!

by T Kyle King on Jan 5, 2010 3:43 PM EST up reply actions  

Politics, politics

Remember when the ACC had to sub in Va Tech for Syracuse because the governor of Virginia didn’t want the Hokies left behind in the shell of a Big East? Anyone with any sense in Nevada would feel the same way about the Wolf Pack, and assuming the governor there holds the same sway over UNLV that Virginia’s held over UVA, there’s at least a chance that successful expansion requires the inclusion of Nevada-Reno. That said, if the MWC could somehow bring in the top four WAC teams and maybe in the process, or soon thereafter, jettison some SDSU, New Mexico, or Colorado State deadwood, so much the better.

I hope this happens. The upper echelons of the MWC and WAC, together, form a stronger conference than the Big East; the lower tiers belong in a West Coast Sun Belt conference or, more properly, the FCS/I-AA ranks.

by NMdawg on Jan 5, 2010 6:37 PM EST up reply actions  

You're absolutely right, NMdawg

Jettisoning the lower-tier teams certainly would be good for the league, although I’m not sure how practical it would be to boot teams to make room for better ones. Heck, Texas and Texas A&M weren’t able to get away with leaving Baylor behind when the SWC folded, for crying out loud!

I freely admit that I know nothing about Nevada government, but, as I understand it, the situation in the Old Dominion was that the structure of the state university system allowed the governor to direct the University of Virginia representative how to vote. Since a couple of existing ACC schools already opposed the move, Virginia’s vote was necessary, so inviting Virginia Tech was obligatory.

Maybe Nevada’s higher education system is structured the same way, but not necessarily. For instance, Georgia’s most definitely is not structured this way; we have a board of regents to insulate the University of Georgia from gubernatorial control. (Gene Talmadge’s interference in the University’s internal affairs and resulting threat to the institution’s accreditation account for this.) If Nevada is set up the way Georgia is, the governor couldn’t give an order like that.

Go 'Dawgs!

by T Kyle King on Jan 5, 2010 7:31 PM EST up reply actions  

To be fair...

… Baylor got it’s spot due to the Bears’ favorite alum, Ann Richards. She was governor at the time, and is Texas’ (latest) version of Huey Long or Gene Talmadge. She didn’t want her alma mater relegated to the WAC or Conference USA.

Richards’ power was made all the more astounding by the fact that the Texas executive branch has slightly less real power than American Samoa’s nonvoting delegate to the U.S. Congress.

by vineyarddawg on Jan 5, 2010 8:22 PM EST up reply actions  

As lifelong Dawg who went to CSU,

I have to take umbage at our football program being lumped in with SDSU and UMN. They were down this year (thanks to injuries, mostly) but have been consistently competetive or better in the MWC for years. In ‘08, for instance, they lost to TCU 13-7, BYU 45-42. and beat Houston. Also, by jettisoning them, the MWC would lose the CSU/Wyoming ’Border War,’ which is the oldest rivalry in the conference at 101 meetings (BYU and Utah have met 91 times). Winner gets a Bronze Boot! Great write-up of the MWC by a SEC oriented blog.

by Beege on Jan 6, 2010 10:41 PM EST up reply actions  

So what you're saying is...

… that CSU is great at achieving “moral victories” over the years… just like their rivals across the border in Laramie.

Sonny Lubick did bring the program a measure of success for a few years, including 6 conference titles in his first 10 years at the school. CSU has never been to a BCS bowl game, however, and the most prestigious bowl they’ve ever been to was the Holiday Bowl (3 times).

In fact, other than the “glory years” of CSU football between 1994 and 2002, CSU’s football history bears a striking resemblance to a certain often-mocked program from the Palmetto State. From 1960 to 1993, Colorado State only saw 6 winning seasons, including their first ever bowl game appearance (and victory) in 1990 under Earle Bruce.

And just because two teams don’t share a conference doesn’t mean they can’t annually continue a longtime rivalry… just ask Georgia and Georgia Tech, Florida and Florida State, South Carolina and Clemson, Iowa and Iowa State, Michigan, MIchigan State, Purdue, and Notre Dame, or Virginia and Virginia Tech prior to ACC expansion.

For the record, I’m in favor of merely adding the aforementioned top 3 teams from the WAC without jettisoning any mid/lower-tier teams like the Rams. Your assertion that the MWC would be losing one of their better and more historic programs just don’t sync up to the historical reality of the CSU program, though, in my opinion.

by vineyarddawg on Jan 7, 2010 3:10 AM EST up reply actions  

Oh yeah, CSU is a middle of the road MWC program for sure...

my point was more that they aren’t a SDSU-level embarassment year after year. I didn’t mean to imply that they were on the level of the BYUs and Utahs of the world. Hopefully those ‘moral victories’ of ’08 are a sign that Coach Fairchild is moving things in the right direction. And since CSU and Wyoming are about the same level of mediocre and very close geographically, it seems reasonable to me to keep one if you keep the other. By the way, I am doubly excited to see the Dawgs take on the CU Buffs in Boulder this October. My first live Georgia game since 2004!

by Beege on Jan 7, 2010 8:35 PM EST up reply actions  

The MWC needs Boise St to become an AQ

but I am not sure moving to 12 teams strengthens their case. The Big East did not “over expand” for the same reason. In terms of BCS qualifying metrics, Fresno and Nevada are very mediocre in football. Fresno would bring a good baseball program and Nevada their basketball status, but neither helps with the true goal of becoming an AQ in football.

If they do expand to 12, I would think they go with Houston (bigger market and better recent BCS metrics) before taking any of the other WAC schools.

"...east and west is the problem, north and south the solution."

by MKingery on Jan 5, 2010 3:46 PM EST reply actions  

I definitely see the wisdom of the Houston solution . . .

. . . but Big East expansion in football was inhibited by the bloated size of the league in basketball. The Mountain West has no such limitations.

Fresno State, while not bringing as much to the table as Boise State, nevertheless is a valuable piece of the puzzle in football. (Don’t remind me about Fresno State baseball; Steve Detwiler’s thumbprint continues to be a blemish on David Perno’s record.)

For one thing, doubling the MWC’s presence in talent-rich California can only upgrade the profile and recruiting base of the league. For another, Fresno State made a name for itself when most of us on the East Coast had never heard of Boise State or Utah, because the Golden State Bulldogs went on the road, took on major conference competition, and won.

While Fresno State lacks a signature win like the Broncos’ over Oklahoma and Oregon or Utah’s over Alabama, the West Coast FSU paved the way and still has a lot to offer. Don’t forget . . . had Reggie Bush merely had an extraordinary day against Fresno State in 2005, Southern Cal wouldn’t have won that game.

Go 'Dawgs!

by T Kyle King on Jan 5, 2010 4:59 PM EST up reply actions  

houston is a good draw, but it seems horribly unfair to them for away games due to distance.

but, again, its a long haul for a lot of these games.

"Sometimes, you just can't get rid of a bomb." - batman

by tankertoad on Jan 5, 2010 4:16 PM EST reply actions  

A lot of people do, as it would change college football entirely.

The MWC adding Boise St., Fresno St. and Houston would be a pretty formidable conference. I wouldn’t place it at the top of the pecking order, but it could easily rival the Big East in top-to-bottom strength. The MWC earning an AQ bid would be just one step closer for mid-majors to be able to contend for a national championship. In my opinion (and I swear, I don’t go around just waiting to disagree with you, Juj), it’s pretty important stuff in relation to the college football landscape, and I commend Kyle on having the ability to see the bigger picture and present a well-written article about such an issue.

by hailtogeorgia on Jan 5, 2010 4:42 PM EST up reply actions  

and...

If a MWC team can pioneer the way for a mid-major to compete for the Mythical National Championship, then it’ll only put more pressure on the BCS gestapo to be overthrown and for a playoff system to be established.

I’m for anything that will kill the BCS.

"If we score, we may win. If they never score, we'll never lose."
-Erk Russell

by DavetheDawg on Jan 5, 2010 5:49 PM EST up reply actions  

i was just waiting for someone to say this would be a step towards playoffs..............

i like you DavetheDawg, why’d you have to open up that can!?

"Sometimes, you just can't get rid of a bomb." - batman

by tankertoad on Jan 5, 2010 6:56 PM EST up reply actions  

I actually

Received a battery powered can opener for Christmas, so I thought I’d try it out…

"If we score, we may win. If they never score, we'll never lose."
-Erk Russell

by DavetheDawg on Jan 5, 2010 7:55 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

Next year, I'll get you . . .

. . . a battery-powered butter knife. “It cuts through hot butter like a nerd!” “You’ll be so jacked, you’ll eat a whole stick of butter!”

Go 'Dawgs!

by T Kyle King on Jan 5, 2010 8:08 PM EST up reply actions  

That would be the gift

That keeps on giving!

Iowa just scored. I’m feeling hungry…

"If we score, we may win. If they never score, we'll never lose."
-Erk Russell

by DavetheDawg on Jan 5, 2010 8:37 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

Also...

…one thing that will impact everyone is the almighty dollar. If the MWC gets their twelfth team, then they will have a conference championship game—that is added revenue. If the MWC gets an Automatic Qualification—that is added revenue. Where does all of this freshly found dough go? Into funding the individual programs and raising the visibility of the conference as a whole.

There has been a lot of talk about the parity of college football in the past several seasons. Give these teams that we have mentioned another revenue stream, and you will see more and more recruits pouring to this “lower tier” conference—so much so that it will no longer be lower tier at all. Am I predicting that this fictitious conference would unseat the SEC and Big 12 powers in the annual recruiting rankings? No. But I am predicting that many of those 4-star players that were the BMOC in High School might like to be a big fish in a smaller Boise or Fort Worth pond instead of a small fish in Tuscaloosa or Gainesville. Better facilities and more national TV coverage and other benefits sprung from the fountain of money will lure those players that were going to Arizona State, Kansas, Ole Miss, etc.

by Tiller on Jan 5, 2010 7:22 PM EST up reply actions  

Exactly . . .

. . . and, given the affected regions, I tend to think a twelve-team Mountain West with an automatic spot in the BCS will work to the advantage of the SEC.

Why? Because, if the Mountain West had two member institutions in California (Fresno State and San Diego State), two member institutions in Texas (Houston and Texas Christian), and eight member institutions scattered in the states in between (where the easternmost Pac-10 schools and the westernmost Big 12 schools are located), the recruiting inroads made by the upgraded MWC will be made mostly in Big 12 and Pac-10 territory.

The SEC’s natural recruiting territory (primarily in Florida and in Georgia) will remain largely unaffected—-look at how few Utah fans traveled even as far east as New Orleans for last year’s Sugar Bowl—-but, if the Pac-10 and the Big 12 have to share a geographic footprint with a league that is much closer to being their equal than the ACC is to matching the SEC, that’s good for us.

Go 'Dawgs!

by T Kyle King on Jan 5, 2010 7:39 PM EST up reply actions  

BSU would love to be in the MWC

Since the MWC went on an early bowl run, and they all believed that TCU was better than Madden All-Stars, what will the Cougs and Ute fans say when (ok if, please, please, please) the Broncos squash them some Horned Frogs and the blood squirting from Horned Frog eyes is because of several big horseshoes planted right in their guts? Like Duck fans, most of them would sooner die than give the Broncos credit. (Thanks BoylenOver for the exception).

Even when you remind Cougar and Ute fans of numbers like 12-1 record against the current MWC, 50-12 against the Cougs on Lavell Edwards field in the snow, 36-3 against the Utes without a blue field in sight, they still harrumph like old ladies at a quilting bee and mutter, yeah…. “but your blue field is stooopid!”

I would love for the Broncs to be in the MWC. I hope they don’t decide to leave BSU out and go it alone, because I think it could be a very fun conference. It will have a ways to go to match the SEC, but I don’t see any reason that if the new and improved MWC had automatic bid money every year, split 10 ways (hehehee) that as the bottom of the conference comes up, that the new MWC couldn’t be contending for a second BCS bid some years instead of the Big 10+1 (or +2, I get so confused). If that starts happening, look out Pac-10 and Big 12 for dominance in the West. Now, it won’t happen overnight, but who would have predicted 2 BCS bowl bids in 4 years for the Broncos, or that in 2004 when Utah went for the 1st time that it become a regular thing for non-AQs to make it in?

Also, if the new MWC with the Broncos had an auto bid, that would leave 3 at large spots. Who is going to be a “BCS buster” if the MWC has absorbed the Broncos and has an auto bid? Western Michigan? East Carolina? Houston? Maybe, but not that likely. The “BCS buster” slot would then be available for a 2nd team from the seven auto bid conferences, in almost all years. Hopefully, a lot of years that would be the new and improved MWC.

Come on MWC, let us into your clubhouse!!!!!!

by rjohnson_jl on Jan 9, 2010 12:11 AM EST reply actions  

BSU vs. the MWC

BSU fans such as rjohnson are quick to point out their 12-1 record against the MWC with is true at least since the conference was founded in 1999. However, he is slow to admit that BSU is 2-1 against “good” MWC teams, and 10-0 against bad ones. One good win came of course this year against TCU/ The other a few years ago against a 9-3 Utah team. The loss against the 2nd place 2 loss TCU team last year.

Bronco fans love to point out the two wins against BYU. Yes in 2003, your 13-1 Broncos came to Provo and whipped the 4-8 BYU team. The next year your 11-1 Broncos on the blue turf narrowly beat a 5-7 BYU squad 28-27 when BYU missed a chip shot field goal.

Fact: Boise state has beaten 2 good MWC teams. The Broncos 12-1 record against the MWC proves only that they would be a top tier team in the conference…which we already knew.

As a BYU fan I would love BSU in the MWC. But please, your 12-1 record against the MWC is deceiving. BYU going undefeated in 2006 and 2007, Utah in 2008, and TCU in 2009 in conference is much more impressive. Why? Because they played everyone. BSU has played 10 bad MWC teams. I got news…BYU, TCU, and Utah would have 12-1 records against similiar quality opponents.

As a side note…No way Utah, BYU, and BSU are in one division with TCU alone in another. I think you will see a Mountain and Plains division split. BYU and Utah will lead the Mountain, and TCU and BSU will lead the Plains.

by blucoug on Jan 10, 2010 3:17 AM EST reply actions  

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