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These two stories made me feel good about our game @ Okie State

http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2009/football/ncaa/08/10/oklahoma.state/

 

Above is a scouting report for SI's #7 Oklahoma State, which talks about their one returning starter from the secondary, their new defensive coordinator, their 109th ranked defense last year (267.7 passing yards and 28.1 points per game allowed), and their 102nd ranked pass rush from last year (15 sacks in 13 games).

 

http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2009/football/ncaa/08/11/georgia/

 

Above is the scouting report for SI's #13 ranked UGA.  It doesn't give a whole lot of statistical analysis, but does have an interesting story I hadn't heard before.  When individually asked who the leader of the team was, 106 Georgia players said it was Joe Cox.  Other than that, it is pretty much the standard Joe Cox stuff - beating Chris Leak's high-school records, leading the comeback against Colorado - but when comparing other facts we know about UGA to the above facts about Oklahoma State, I start to get happy. 

 

We return a very talented offensive line that, based on last year's stats for OSU, should dominate the game easily against a weak pass rush.  We also return one of the nation's best wide receivers, and a stable of other talented and experienced receivers who, based on last year's stats for OSU, should dominate the game against an unexperienced secondary learning a brand new scheme (which also happens to be the third new defensive scheme in five years under Coach Gundy).  Add in that Joe Cox's best attribute is his accuracy...well, I'm liking it.

 

Then you add in Coach Richt's road record.  Then you add in Coach Richt's road record against OOC opponents.  Then you add in Coach Richt's opening-day-big-game record.  Then you add in the fact that we'll travel decently (not as great as last year I don't think, but still pretty good considering).

 

I think it is safe to say we can mark this one as a W right now, barring something crazy happening between now and Sept. 5th.

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Comments

Display:

AAAAAAAAARRRRRRRGHHHHHH!!!!!

“I think it is safe to say we can mark this one as a W right now”?!?!

Egad, man, you’re tempting fate!

Seriously, right now, wherever you are, go outside, turn around three times, and spit.

I admire your confidence and I appreciate your examination of the matchups presented, but, Moses on a pony, don’t be calling anything other than Tennessee Tech and Florida “safe wins” right now!

(By the way, you’re right, we won’t travel as well, judging by the massive Hartman Fund point cutoff differential between the 2008 Arizona State and 2009 Oklahoma State games, but there’s an important distinction: I’ll be there for the latter. I figure I’m good for ten average fans, easy.)

Go 'Dawgs!

by T Kyle King on Aug 19, 2009 5:58 PM EDT reply actions  

I truly apologize

but confidence is confidence. The last time I felt good enough to declare a win pre-game was 2007 preseason when I called us beating Florida.

You’ll rarely hear it from me, but I’m saying it now!

If we lose, you may all punch me in the stomach.

by UgaBulldog14 on Aug 19, 2009 6:14 PM EDT reply actions  

Or we could carve "FAIL" on your forearm with a pocket knife

. . . And then pour 100 cocktails on it.

Alternately, you could smash 100 cocktails into your forehead. Not sure which would be preferable.

Leaving insightful football commentary and analysis to other people since 2006.

by wwcmrd? on Aug 19, 2009 7:12 PM EDT up reply actions  

All right, that's fair

If you’re sure, you’re sure.

I didn’t know there was a scientific basis for your claims. My bad.

Go 'Dawgs!

by T Kyle King on Aug 19, 2009 6:38 PM EDT reply actions  

Thanks for the...

prediction UB14. If you could, please post W or L weekly so I don’t have to stress out about games so much this year.

by VDawg on Aug 22, 2009 9:20 AM EDT reply actions  

I'm glad to hear it

I just don’t understand why so many people think OSU is in the driver’s seat for this one. For all of the reasons you list, I think the ’dawgs are going to win this one big enough that they need to worry about overconfidence against USC.

by stretchdavis on Aug 31, 2009 10:57 AM EDT reply actions  

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