Which Team Is the Scariest Opponent on the Georgia Bulldogs' 2009 Football Schedule?
Regular readers of this site know that I approach the 2009 season with an attitude which vacillates between utter trepidation and mere pessimism. Where Manic Kyle ruled the roost a year ago, Depressive Kyle now declares all hope is lost and 7-5 is inevitable. Whence, though, are the wins and losses going to come?
I, like vineyarddawg, am going to try to take a stab at answering that question. Here, from least stressful to most frightening, are the Bulldogs’ games, arranged according to the fear factor they represent, in my estimation:
12. Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles: In spite of the fact that Watson Brown evidently was quite the looker back in the day, I’m not terribly worried that his Division I-AA squad is going to come to Athens and Appalachian State the Red and Black. This is the only relaxing game on the slate.
11. Florida Gators: Let me be perfectly clear upon this point: Florida will win the SEC East without the need to rely upon any tiebreakers; Florida will attend and win the SEC championship game; Florida will attend and win the BCS national championship game; Florida will be crowned the undisputed No. 1 team in the land in January 2010 . . . and the Gators, who inevitably will lose a game, will come up short in Jacksonville, thanks to the open date, the 19-year cycles, the Bulldogs’ record against defending national champions, and Lane Kiffin’s offseason antics. It’ll be 1985 all over again as the Red and Black beat the top-ranked Sunshine State Saurians to card their only truly significant victory of the autumn.
10. Vanderbilt Commodores: The Music City Sailors have never been to bowl games in back-to-back seasons. Heck, they’ve only once been to bowl games in back-to-back decades. Even in Nashville, I ain’t afraid of no ‘Dores.
9. Kentucky Wildcats: Even though Georgia gets the Blue and White between the hedges, Rich Brooks’s squad is apt to be a wee bit better than Vandy, so I’ll sweat this one slightly more than I’ll sweat the one against the Commodores. I’m still putting this one in the "reasonably safe win" column, though.
8. Arizona St. Sun Devils: Here is where I start to get nervous. Yes, I know Rudy Carpenter is gone and ASU is 0-4 against SEC teams and the Sun Devils haven’t played in the humidity of the Southeast in more than a decade, but Arizona State has Dennis Erickson, a boatload of offensive linemen, and designs on righting the ship after this debacle in the desert. The Devils may not get the win, but the ‘Dawgs will get their best shot.
7. Tennessee Volunteers: The Big Orange faithful know just how big a game this is for the Vols. On paper, it shouldn’t be much of a contest, but it is in Knoxville and, frankly, the fear that accompanies this game this year (unlike in the 1990s, when it was genuine Florida-type fear) is a lot like the fear that annually accompanies the games against South Carolina and Georgia Tech: "What kind of crap are we going to have to take for the next year if these guys somehow find a way to get out of this game with a win?" I didn’t like losing to them when they had Phillip Fulmer, David Cutcliffe, and John Chavis, but those were talent-laden, well-coached teams and there is no dishonor in falling to a superior force. The shame of losing to Lane Kiffin would be almost too much to bear.
6. South Carolina Gamecocks: 25 of the 61 series meetings have been settled by margins of seven or fewer points. In six of the last eight seasons, we have seen final scores of 14-9, 13-7, 20-16, 17-15, 16-12, and 14-7 in this matchup. What possible reason could we have for doubting that the Classic City Canines and the Palmetto State Poultry will battle down to the wire one more time?
5. Arkansas Razorbacks: I’m not worried about Bobby Petrino (assuming he is still the head coach of the Hogs by September 19) or anything funky Arkansas does offensively. I am, however, worried about having to travel that far to face a team that gets to tune up against Missouri State and take a break before facing the Red and Black.
4. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets: Unlike many folks, I am not getting starry-eyed over the Engineers’ 18 returning starters, 61 returning lettermen, and "flexbone" offense; I remember Pepper Rodgers, I know how motivated that made the Red and Black, and I know Georgia Tech handles expectations even worse than we do. However, the MVP of the 2009 Ramblin’ Wreck squad is the guy who made up the schedule. In the five weeks leading up to their game against Georgia, the Yellow Jackets face, in succession, Virginia, Vanderbilt, Wake Forest, and Duke before getting an open date the Saturday before Thanksgiving. The Golden Tornado starters will have played about eight quarters’ worth of football in the five weeks prior to facing the ‘Dawgs. A road game against a rested opponent is always dangerous, especially against a rival that spends the other eleven games of the year singing about you.
3. Auburn Tigers: Admittedly, it’s looking pretty bleak for the Plainsmen, what with Gene Chizik being their head coach and Bobby Lowder’s bank folding and all, but those dastardly devils in the so-called Loveliest Village are just lulling us into a false sense of security. They have us right where they want us, since Georgia almost certainly will have a better record than Auburn and the game will be played in Athens. Having the home field and the higher ranking are the dual kisses of death in this series. You want further proof of the risk the Bulldogs are running in this game? Fine: Georgia currently has a three-game series winning streak. The last three times the Classic City Canines had a three-game series winning streak against the Tigers were from 1950 to 1952, from 1966 to 1968, and from 1980 to 1982. Auburn beat Georgia in 1953, 1969, and 1983. I hate Auburn.
2. LSU Tigers: Stick a great big question mark next to Jordan Jefferson’s name if you must. Defense still wins championships and the Bayou Bengals have returning talent and a proven new coordinator on that side of the ball. Louisiana State should cruise through the first four games on the slate, making the showdown in Sanford Stadium the Tigers’ first real test of the season. You’d better believe they’ll be ready.
1. Oklahoma St. Cowboys: If we rearranged the schedule to move Tennessee Tech to Labor Day weekend and bump the Pokes to November 7, OSU might not worry me quite so much, but this is one of the biggest games in Cowboy history and is being played on the road. Mike Gundy and company understand how huge a step their program can take on the national stage with a win on September 5, and Oklahoma State wants revenge for the last time the two teams met. If the crowd gets into it early, it could get ugly for the visitors. Although I’m looking forward to being there, I’m not so sure I’m going to like what I see when T. Kyle King enters T. Boone Pickens Stadium.
All right, now it’s your turn. Which teams have I underrated? Which ones have I overrated? From whom and to whom should my fretting be shifted? Which opponent scares you the most?
Go ‘Dawgs!
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Comments
Repeat After Me: No-Body-Knows!
T. Kyle’s post reinforces my already-strong belief that predicting this UGA season is impossible because of (a) the vast number of unanswerable questions about this year’s Dawgs, and (b) the vast number of unanswerable questions about this year’s Dawg opponents.
This second factor needs to be emphasized. Aside from Florida and Tennessee Tech—and maybe Kentucky—our opposition is very difficult to assess until actual games are played. Will Okie State’s (or LSU’s) new defensive coordinator make a big difference? Will Stephen Garcia (or Jonathan Crompton) settle down and live up to his hyped potential coming out of high school? Can Arizona State (or Georgia) make up for the loss of skill players with stronger line play? Is Gus Malzahn the Next Big Thing, or the next Tony Franklin? Which heralded true freshman, if any, will make a big impact? And will opposing defensive coordinators watch Chick Fil-A Bowl tape and figure out how to stop the Dirt Daubers?
I’m reasonably well-informed for a Regular Fan, but I can’t answer any of these questions with much confidence. So it’s hard to say which opponent is “scariest.” They’re all pretty scary when you’re not sure what you have and not sure what they have either.
seriously?
the florida thing is a joke right? its gotta be…..
Bills make me wanna SHOUT!
by silverstreak3k on Aug 17, 2009 11:48 PM EDT reply actions
Three games that worry me the most...
3. Oklahoma State: I have a feeling that somebodies going to get blown out in this game. Unfortunately, I have no idea who. Even though we have a veteran line, our skill positions outside of AJ Green our too much of an unknown. The Cowboys were ranked 92nd in the nation in total defense last year, and they got waxed against every decent team they played. However, they have a new DC, so nobody really has a clue what they’ll look like on that side of the ball.
2. LSU: It’s LSU, and they’re looking for revenge after last year. I’m not sold on Jefferson, but the Fighting Tigers won two NCs this decade with mediocre play from the QB position, a strong offensive line, and a smash-mouth approach to the running game. With Charles Scott in the backfield and Ciron Black anchoring the line, this year’s Tiger offense is no different than the ‘03 and ’07 editions. Fortunately, I don’t think they have the depth to field a championship caliber defense.
1. Florida: I’ve already chalked this one up as an ‘L.’ I know all about our record against defending NCs and the 19 year cycles you keep insisting upon, but there is absolutely no statistical quirk that can curb my pessimism about this game. In 2008, we took what was probably the most talented team Mark Richt has ever fielded to Jacksonville and got curb-stomped. Based on this, and our penchant for choking against Florida teams that were lead by Ron freakin’ Zook, I feel like any success we will have against the Gators from here on out will be a mere momentary deviation from the horrid trend that started in 1990. To me, UGA’s past dominance against Florida is a lot like Bigfoot. I lot of people say they’ve seen it, and there’s a lot of old, grainy film they use to support their claims, but I can’t and won’t believe it until I see it for myself.
Sic 'em Dawgs
by ClassicCityDawg on Aug 18, 2009 12:25 AM EDT reply actions
Does this mean....
That a win against the Pokes will skyrocket the Dawgs into your Top 10? :-)
Behold, this year's College Gameday Sign:
"Joe Cox -- He circumcises ANGELS!"
Silverstreak
I tried to post a direct reply to you but it wouldn’t work. You must be a newbie here. In a way Kyle is dead serious as he looks at superstitions and traditions more than anyone I have ever seen. If you (block out several hours to) check out the links in the post, I am sure it will make sense
What do you mean by "worry"?
If we define “worry” to encompass concern over an unknown outcome, then I don’t “worry” about the outcome. Classic City Dawg is right. We’re going to lose.
In addition to having a great name, Donkeydawg also makes a good point that no other season has seen this many opponents on the Bulldog slate with this many question marks.
It’s like we’re in the ACC or something and no one has any clue how good anyone is going to be. There are nine teams that could end up in the top 25 at the end of the year and it wouldn’t surprise you. There are nine teams that could end up unranked and it wouldn’t surprise you. And the same applies to us. Be honest, would you be all that surprised if we finished the year in the “others receiving votes” category? And while it would represent exceeding expectations, it wouldn’t be shocking if we finished in the top 10.
That said, I think Kyle is right to put the Cowboys first as an object of “worry” because the tenor of the season could be set by this game.
But my second team to worry about is Georgia Tech. If we lose to a really good LSU team, well then we lose. We’ve been trading back and forth with the Cajuns for years. If we fall to an Auburn team with a new coach and new energy, then we are annoyed, but we get them back next year.
If we lose to Tech again. Those nerds are going to think they are ready to play on our level year in and year out. We have to make last year a “fluke” – a streak breaker in a series that went right back to being a streak.
O ye of little faith
Did you read the part about the 19-year cycles?
And the defending national champions thing?
And the open date thing?
I’m telling you, a win over Florida is a mortal lock. It’s the other ten Division I-A games that are toss-ups.
Dang it, man, this is science!
Go 'Dawgs!
by T Kyle King on Aug 18, 2009 10:52 PM EDT up reply actions
I'm afraid the shame may be more than the author could bear
In my best doc holliday.
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Eric Berry is better at football than you

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