A First Look at Nos. 11 Through 25 on My Preseason BlogPoll Ballot
I’ve already given you a sneak preview of my top ten, so now, without further fanfare, let us pick up where we left off and run down the remainder of the rough draft of my preseason BlogPoll ballot, which is offered for your comments and critiques:
11. Oklahoma St. Cowboys: Yes, there’s been a bit of a backlash after all the offseason hype, and Mike Gundy’s crew will have ample opportunity to impress me on Labor Day weekend, but, in the meantime, OSU’s offense gets the Pokes to the cusp of the top ten, but the Cowboys’ defense keeps them on the outside looking in . . . for now.
12. Mississippi Rebels: While I think Ole Miss is somewhat overrated, a manageable schedule and an experienced signal caller under center will carry the Rebs far, just not as far as Atlanta. Well, O.K., maybe for the Chick-fil-A Bowl.
13. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets: It is good news for a Georgia fan when a high preseason placement is bestowed upon the Ramblin’ Wreck, so I’ll be happy to climb aboard the bandwagon jalopy for purposes of sabotaging the Engineers’ chances. I found persuasive rebelcraig’s argument that Ole Miss and Georgia Tech are comparable clubs, so I ranked them one after the other.
14. Boise St. Broncos: Let’s not kid ourselves . . . it likely is a one-game season for the boys from Boise. Beat the visiting Ducks on the opening Thursday night of the campaign and yet another undefeated season is more than probable. Come up short at home with the whole world watching and the Broncos will spend all season trying to boost the number on the left-hand side of the ledger high enough to overcome the "1" on the right-hand side of the ledger. Frankly, this is a hedge pick; BSU is either way too high or way too low, depending upon the outcome of that lone game. If it’s any consolation to you, Boise State fans, I’m pulling for you!
15. Michigan St. Spartans: Although I talked myself back into ranking the Penn St. Nittany Lions above this team, I continue to believe Mark Dantonio has put to rest Sparty’s previously well-deserved reputation for late-season choke-artistry, so I’m going with Michigan State to round out the top fifteen.
16. Pittsburgh Panthers: Someone has to win the Big East; it might as well be the team with fifteen returning starters from a nine-win club, particularly when every other team in the league appears at least as flawed. I thought about ranking Pitt one spot ahead of the Spartans, but, honestly, who can tell these two teams apart?
17. UCLA Bruins: Let’s get this straight from the outset . . . I am no fan of Rick Neuheisel, I believe his record speaks for itself, and I find some of the arguments offered by his defenders rather dubious, but I thought his homecoming to Westwood was just crazy enough to work. After the season-opening overtime win against the Tennessee Volunteers, there weren’t a lot of positives for the Bruins in last year’s 4-8 campaign, but UCLA returns sixteen starters from an injury-riddled 2008 team. I don’t know if the Bruins will have long-term staying power, but, this fall, at least, they should make some noise in the Pac-10.
18. TCU Horned Frogs: We’re getting down to the point at which pollsters just throw up their hands and say, "Heck if I know. Let’s just list somebody who’s been good lately and play some dadgum games already!" With Utah headed for a drop-off, no team in the Mountain West appears better positioned to fill the void at the top than Texas Christian, which may play its toughest games on the road but which has a proven track record under Gary Patterson. I look for the Horned Frogs to win ten for the sixth time in eight seasons this fall.
19. North Carolina Tar Heels: Butch Davis knows how to build a program. UNC brings back nine defensive starters. Four of the Tar Heels’ five 2008 losses were by margins of three, three, two, and one, respectively. It’s not hard to look at North Carolina’s schedule and find ten wins.
20. Oregon Ducks: Sure, there’s cause for concern here. The Ducks bring back only nine starters and there’s bound to be a learning curve under a new head coach. It’s not like Chip Kelly is new to the program, though, and Oregon plays seven home games (including five Pac-10 tilts) in Autzen Stadium. While the Ducks have two tough road outings (at Boise State and at UCLA) and two tough home games (against Cal and USC), the rest of the schedule is manageable.
21. Georgia Bulldogs: I believe the ‘Dawgs are either seriously overrated or severely underrated. I’m hoping it’s the latter, but, until I am given concrete reasons to believe otherwise, I’m betting on the former. We should find out in a hurry which of the two it is.
22. Virginia Tech Hokies: I can’t quite put my finger on it, but I’m just not placing my faith in VPI this autumn. I think the Gobblers are this year’s Clemson Tigers, right down to the season-opening loss to the Alabama Crimson Tide in the Georgia Dome.
23. BYU Cougars: The Halls (quarterback Max and coach Bronco Menden-) will win Brigham Young a lot of games, but, with just four starters returning on offense and back-to-back road games preceding their showdown with TCU, I like the Cougs to be good but not great.
24. Arizona St. Sun Devils: On paper, there are more deserving Pac-10 teams than this one, but I’m picking ASU because the pattern has been established. Boise State was supposed to break through in 2005; instead, they lost to Georgia and rebounded to have a breakout year in 2006. Oklahoma State was supposed to break through in 2007; instead, they lost to Georgia and rebounded to have a breakout year in 2008. The Sun Devils were supposed to break through in 2008; instead, they lost to Georgia and . . . well, you know the rest.
25. Southern Miss. Golden Eagles: While I hate to borrow a page from Steve Spurrier’s book, the Evil Genius has abandoned his previous contrarianism regarding the annual placement of Duke in his preseason top 25, so someone has to get contrary, and who better than me? Out of respect for Matt Hinton, my former SB Nation colleague and the current proprietor of Dr. Saturday, I have established the tradition of voting Matt’s alma mater, Southern Miss, as the No. 25 team on my preseason BlogPoll ballot every year. I will continue to do so until the drumbeat for ousting me from the poll becomes too noisy to endure. Don’t worry; USM will be gone after Labor Day weekend . . . although, with games upcoming against Central Florida, Virginia, Kansas, and Louisville, they’re not entirely off the radar screen as far as chances to earn some poll love are concerned.
Others receiving consideration: Arkansas Razorbacks, Iowa Hawkeyes, and Nebraska Cornhuskers.
Teams I ain’t buying for a second: Florida St. Seminoles, Miami Hurricanes, Notre Dame Fighting Irish, and Utah Utes. It ain’t 1999, 2001, 1988, or 2008, is it? Well, O.K., then.
I wish to stress that this is a rough draft, which is offered for your evaluation. Feel free to point out my errors of omission, my errors of commission, and my mistaken placements in the comments below. While the final judgment on my BlogPoll ballot remains my own, I am always open to persuasive cases. Have at it.
Go ‘Dawgs!
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17 comments
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Comments
I’m not saying we’re going to go unbeaten or even beat ‘Bama. But, c’mon. The Hokies aren’t coached by Tommy Bowden. No. 7 is probably too high for us, but we’re not going to have the epic collapse Clemson had last year.
A bullhorn, a bottle of whiskey and a dream. GobblerCountry.com
by furrer4heisman on Aug 10, 2009 2:29 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Thanks for stating your case for the Hokies . . .
. . . in the comment thread following your fanshot here.
I’ll be sure to bear your points in mind.
Go 'Dawgs!
by T Kyle King on Aug 10, 2009 8:09 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I'd be loathe to include Arizona State on this list
That terrible O-line that Georgia dominated in Tempe last year is only worse as their mainstays have graduated. Also with the QB situation at unrest I wouldn’t expect big things from this team that severely underachieved last year. The only argument for them is that they could be progressing towards the mean, but other than that I think it’s a 6-6, 7-5 type team that doesn’t warrant any pre-season love.
http://hobnailboot.wordpress.com/
by AuditDawg on Aug 10, 2009 10:38 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I can't believe I'm about to type this...
… but I think Notre Dame deserves consideration for at least one of the final 5 spots.
I admit that their schedule is more loaded with cupcakes than Mark Mangino’s secret stash. I mean, seriously… they dropped Army and Air Force only to add Washington and Washington State? That’s a lateral move, at best. Not to mention home games against powerhouses Nevada and UConn. I mean, when Stanford is likely to be the third-hardest team on the schedule, you’ve got a deep-fried twinkie on a stick there, mate.
With that said, however, they do have some highly-rated talent that has come in, they have virtually all of their offensive line coming back, and 18 returning starters in all.
I would probably consider displacing the Balmy Beelzebubs at 24 with the Disagreeable Leprechauns.
by vineyarddawg on Aug 10, 2009 11:56 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I can't say this enough...
… but no team that lost to my Orange last year should even come close to being considered for a top 25 vote.
by drothgery on Aug 10, 2009 12:08 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Boise...
… isn’t #14 about where they should end up if they lose a non-blowout to Oregon and blow everyone else on their schedule out (which is what I expect to happen)?
I think you’re wrong about Virginia Tech (though I wish you weren’t; for some reason back in the Big East days I really, really disliked Virginia Tech; I had some respect for Miami even though they always beat us, but the Hokies… I just didn’t like them); who else is going to win the ACC?
by drothgery on Aug 10, 2009 12:06 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Hey Guys
Don’t mean to go off topic here with your post, but I am a huge fan of the Baltimore Ravens and we took LB Darnell Ellerbe as an undrafted rookie and the guy has been tearing it up for the Ravens so far in training camp. We are all really excited to see him make the team.
So I would just like to get an insight from some Bulldog fans of the type of player Ellerbe is. Thanks guys if you can tell me anything about him.
You have to hate losing more than you love winning.
by Mr MaLoR on Aug 10, 2009 2:19 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Just keep the pregnant women away......
Or at least the ones he’s dating!
Nah just joking-he may very well be the 2nd coming of “Ray Ray” Lewis!! At least in his off-field shenanigans!!
by Dawgrees on Aug 10, 2009 9:17 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Ellerbe
He has all the physical tools to be a very successful OLB in the NFL. He’s big, fast, and VERY aggressive. He’s alright in pass coverage, but his strength is attacking the L.O.S. He’s at his best when playing with reckless abandon.
The question about Danell has always been off-the-field stuff. If he can keep his nose clean, no reason he can’t have a good pro career.
by Hobnail_Boot on Aug 11, 2009 1:16 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Notre Dame by any other name ...
If we took an identical team, with an identical resume of accomplishments over the last decade or so, an identically overpaid morbidly obese head coach, and an identical Clausen quarterback, and gave it a name other than Notre Dame, and told them to play the same schedule, I can’t imagine anybody would be talking about them anywhere near the top 25.
Look, folks, Rudy was a fine movie, and Lou Holtz has charmed us all with the whole “Let’s watch Grandpa lose his mind and babble on about stuff” act, but this thing is dying. We’re all shocked to see Ole Miss near the top 10 because it’s been such a rare thing in our lifetime, and it’s hard to believe that there was once a time when the Rebels were once not merely good but iconic. Our children will feel the same way about Notre Dame.
by rebelcraig on Aug 10, 2009 4:32 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Has anyone ever included a team in their top 5 who went 8-5 or worse in the previous year?
I like the respect being payed to LSU in your ballot, but if your goal is to predict the final rankings, LSU has the toughest SEC schedule of Bama, Ole Miss, and LSU, and all 3 teams are about equal when weighing their strengths and weaknesses.
For that reason alone I don’t think LSU can be ranked ahead of both Bama and Ole Miss. The odds don’t support that finish.
Unless of course you are using the LSU Jonno logic of ranking SEC teams when treating the eventual SEC champion as a given.
Maybe you are saying that Bama will win the west, being that they have a much easier schedule than LSU, but in doing so will get clobered by Florida in the SEC CG thereby dropping below LSU in the rankings? If so, then I fully support the LSU pick!
By the way, check out my comment about Auburn at the bottom of that link…
by LSU Jonno on Aug 10, 2009 5:12 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I doubt if anyone has ever ranked a five-loss team in the preseason top five . . .
. . . but, had anyone ranked the Georgia Bulldogs No. 1 in the preseason poll in 1980, that voter would have proven prescient in January.
The Red and Black went 6-5 in 1979.
Go 'Dawgs!
by T Kyle King on Aug 10, 2009 8:04 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Am I delusional............
for thinking UGA is going to be way better than most think? Last year – as disappointing as it was for some – showed me we had some talented but inexperienced depth. If we avoid a similar rash of injuries I see good things happening. I think the defense is going to remind us of old. We were in position to make a ton of plays last year but lacked real focus – this year is going to be very different.
by JRL on Aug 10, 2009 6:39 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I hope you're right . . .
. . . and I’m not even saying you’re not, but, after getting burned last year, I’m going to have to be given proof before succumbing to hope.
Good for you for looking on the bright side. I hope I’m given good reason to join you in that view, and, if circumstances allow me to get there, you may feel free to tell me you told me so.
Go 'Dawgs!
by T Kyle King on Aug 10, 2009 8:03 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I'm flattered by the Arizona State pick...
…but I think you and I share the same flaw when it comes to preseason polls. I usually end up ranking one of ASU’s early season opponents in the 20s, probably because I’m aware of their strengths more than I am the strengths of an equally or more deserving team. This comes from reading up on my alma mater’s foes in July and August, and it works as a mental backup plan if the Devils lose to the opponent in question. A spoonful of “I told you so” helps an unexpected loss go down.
As for your pattern, you’ll remember that Boise State broke out a year after losing between the hedges, as did Okie State. This ASU team will be able to hang close with some teams by virtue of a young, strong defensive unit and, let’s be honest, the offense can’t get much worse than 2008. The schedule starts soft and ends tough (roadie to the Classic City excepted) so the maroon and gold may be able to gain enough confidence and experience to upset one of the conference big boys down the stretch, but the way I see it anything more than seven wins would be a real surprise. Holding to your theory though, many fans of Sparky see 2010 as Erickson’s first big statement season in the valley of the sun, one year after (probably) taking their lumps in Athens.
A-State’s offensive line only lost one starter, RG Paul Fanaika. We werer already banged up by the time the Dawgs came to town (I realize I’m preaching to the choir re: 2008 line injuries) but last year’s starting RT against UGA, RS freshman Adam Tello, was a center in high school and is a natural guard. It was his first career start in an emergency situation and this year he’s listed as a backup guard. The line should be better as everyone’s healthy at this point, but without any proof I’m inclined to agree with auditdawg: any praise for the Sun Devil offensive unit will have to be earned.
by Big Jon on Aug 10, 2009 11:20 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
UNC
I believe I made a similar contention at some point last season, but as Dawg fan from NC, I will never be comfortable with UNC being ranked ahead of the Dawgs.
I completely agree that there is every reason to be cautious about our team this year, and it’d be foolish to rank UGA too high. It’s just the preseason, no resume ranking and all that…
But do you really thing that if UGA played UNC on September 5, that we would lose? Hakeem Nicks is gone. What’s the justification? I am sure I could ask a similar question about a few other teams ranked above us on your ballot, but I might as well make an example out of UNC.
by QuietHourBackflips on Aug 12, 2009 7:44 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
That's a fair question . . .
. . . to which I do not have an adequate answer, except to say this:
Manic Kyle has left the building and Depressive Kyle will have to be convinced. A 1-0 start would go a long way towards persuading me, but, after last year, I’m in full-fledged I’ll-believe-it-when-I-see-it mode.
I freely admit that this answer is a wholly unsatisfactory response to your reasonable and intellectually consistent question, which I regret, but I’m going to be a Straight Bangin’ Award finalist on a weekly basis for the first few weeks of the BlogPoll.
Go 'Dawgs!
by T Kyle King on Aug 12, 2009 10:58 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

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