Cocktail Wednesday: Capital One Bowl Edition
The great thing about the holidays is that it's perfectly acceptable for you to drink on Wednesday. Or Thursday. Or during the Holiday Bowl (hey, there's the whale again! Drink!). Or whenever you see Willie Martinez giving you two thumbs up on your television screen.
Speaking of which, I have a New Year's confession. After the Georgia Tech game, Kyle and I discussed doing a sort of point/counterpoint on the issue of whether Willie Martinez should be retained as Georgia's defensive coordinator. Kyle dutifully posted his argument here. It is a well-reasoned and complete argument, as you would expect from the Mayor.
As you may have noticed, I never posted a rejoinder. It's not that I didn't want to. It's not that I couldn't. It's just that each time I listed off the arguments, I realized that this particular recurring issue is my own personal Cambodia. I could cross the line into that territory, but once I do, there will be no graceful exit. Few will agree with me, and some will disagree vehemently.
So, I've settled on a brief incursion. There's nothing here that others far smarter and more diligent haven't pointed out previously. But I think now might be a good time to rehash, for reasons I'll make clear in a moment. Why shouldn't Willie be given the old heave-ho? Because, in no particular order:
- "Total points allowed" is perhaps the most meaningless statistic ever. If your offense gives Tim Tebow the ball on the one yard line you'll give up 6 points. Even if you're the 1985 Chicago Bears. This is a much larger post that's coming after the bowl season, and I'm sure many of you will thoughtfully disagree with me (both now and when I flesh it out later). But I find this particular piece of datum less than compelling.
- We can't forget 2007. Those who want Martinez out have been talking about the "steady decline" of the Georgia defense. While the past four defenses on the whole may or may not have been as good as the four before (depending on your criteria), there's not been a steady downward track, as previously reported. 2007's version of the Georgia defense finished 14th in the nation and 3rd in the SEC in total defense. If we are going to malign Willie for this year's group, we have to give him credit for last year's. Any other approach is simply pessimism for pessimism's sake.
- Or 2006. That year Willie's charges were 8th in total defense and quite likely turned a 7-6 season into a 9-4 campaign while covering for the miscues of a bumbling freshman quarterback and a kicker who literally drove me to profanity. "But MD" you say, "we went from 8th to 14th in total defense! That's slippage! Slippage I say!" To this I would reply that complaining about falling from 8th to 14th in total defense is like complaining that your Bentley is in the shop and your loaner is a crappy 2007 Mercedes. Some people really should find other things to complain about.
- "The perfect is the enemy of the good." So said Voltaire. This season is the first since Willie Martinez took over as defensive coordinator in which the Georgia defense did not finish in the top 20 in total defense. That's a hell of a run. They ended it by finishing, gasp, 28th. Of course, this is still galling for some because the 'Dawgs' defense finished 6th in the SEC. That's a sure sign of slouching toward Gomorrah, right? Except that even with the nutpunching from Georgia Tech's offense to finish the season, this defense still gave up 5 fewer yards a game than last season's, and merely five more yards than 2006's. That difference (1.7% + or -, for what it's worth) is simply not statistically significant. If Willie Martinez isn't Brian Van Gorder, that's fine by me. Because the guy who would replace him won't be either, more than likely. We shouldn't Tuberville our DC, which at this point is exactly what firing Willie would be at this point. This defense's fault was that it played it's worst against the teams it could least afford to do so against. Much like the 2006 offense, which moved the ball well behind its freshman quarterback, except when it really needed to. Who was our offensive coordinator that year? I hope that guy got fired. Speaking of which . . .
- Mark Richt says you're wrong. I've never been a huge fan of the "appeal to authority" argument. Because in my day job as an attorney, I've learned that the "experts" are often wrong, and they always disagree. But I'm willing to believe Mark Richt when he says our defense needs a tuneup, not a new engine. Because he has 2 more Sugar Bowl wins and 2 more SEC Championship rings than me. Or any of us. He could be wrong about Willie Martinez. But he's earned the benefit of the doubt from me.
So you find yourself asking, "What does this pedantic jeremiad have to do with Cocktails and the impending bowl matchup? Let me explain. This game, as do all bowl games, will go a long way toward establishing the tenor of the next season. We're facing one of the nation's most hyped tailbacks, in a game that will be billed as a battle of premiere tailbacks. Like Paul Westerdawg, I have my doubts regarding whether Javon Ringer will ring up many yards against the Georgia defense. I'll talk about that more in Thursday's 5 Things Preview.
But I know for certain that this game is a referendum on Willie Martinez. Again. If Javon Ringer goes for 180 yards and 3 touchdowns, you can bet Willie Martinez's offseason will be even more pressure-packed than otherwise. While a strong performance won't erase the sting of the Georgia Tech debacle, it will provide a boost.
So, what should you drink while you're building your own credit card with war kittens (warning, audio link) on it and an attractive interest rate? A Dead Ringer:
- 2 cups crushed ice
- 4 cups 7-Up
- 2 limes, cut into wedges, plus a few slices for garnish
- 1/4 cup melon liqueur (Midori works well)
- 1/4 cup vodka
- 1/4 cup rum
- 1/4 cup gin
- 1/4 cup Triple Sec
Add to a pitcher 7-Up, limes, melon liqueur, vodka, rum, gin and Triple Sec. Stir to combine. Pour drink over ice into chilled soda glasses and garnish with a slice of lime.
Don't worry, it will be green. Not Sparty green necessarily, but greenish. Drink 3 of them and you'll match. If Reshad Jones tackles like he did against Georgia Tech, drink 4. Very simple. I'll be back Thuesday morning with this week's 5 things. Until then . . .
Go 'Dawgs!!!
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CWM
I expect Mich State to try and do what Alabama did to us. Throw the short passes and try to control the game by running the ball. If we run the same defense (highly likely), we will give their quarterback sufficient time to make his throws. If we sit back and give them a 10 yard cushion they will take advantage of it. This is what drives us crazy. We know, they know but we are still going to probably do it. I would rather get beat playing man on man than sitting back letting them make easy catches. Smart coaches with reasonable talent can out coach us. We look for breaks and when they do not come, we wonder why we lose. We are not going to win every game but the way we lose is frustrating. We can dominate Central Mich and look good with regard to stats but we have a problem with decent teams.
by RRdawg on
Dec 31, 2008 7:49 AM EST
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Sparrow
Your point about Tubbs & Auburn is a good one and worth emphasizing more. A coach or coordinator should be relieved of his duties if he consistently fails to meet reasonable expectations. Those who want to toss Martinez seem to view performance over a single season as a measure of consistency. Conversely, those who aren’t so ready to change horses regard the measure as the results of multiple seasons. I find the knee-jerk reaction to this season’s defense to be unreasonable, but it is an unquestionably accurate indicator the tenor of college coaching today, fair or not. I am furious with our defensive performance this year, but still hesitant to see Martinez go. That said, I am not overly convinced of your argument in favor of keeping him around.
I’ll grant you the first 3 points, but to fall back on apples to oranges comparisons and season rankings misses the point. Sure our defense showed up against the powder-puff teams, that’s irrelevant. We played 3 big games this season and lost 3 big games, 2 of them badly, all embarassingly. The easy games skew the stats and make us look better than we were. After the first half of Bama, the final 3 quarters of Florida, and the second half of Tech, I don’t think any Georgia fan relishes in finishing 28th in total defense.
For what it’s worth, Richt did lose his OC status, so to speak, and our offense does seem to have benefited from the change. And to some extent, we must take him at his word, but when his statements don’t seem to line up with reality (see CMR’s comments following the Kentucky game), we have a right to question him.
If bowl games have anything to do with establishing the tenor of the following season, we should be playing in the MNC this year. It will be a referendum on Martinez, but it should be one for Richt as well. “Who is more the fool, the fool or the fool that follows him.”
by Sparrow on
Dec 31, 2008 12:32 PM EST
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I've got to disagree with your first point
So total points allowed is a meaningless stat? I do agree that the Florida game was an aberration as ST’s and offensive turnovers put the defense in some difficult situations to keep Tebow out of the end zone. So you’re telling me the 38 points to Kentucky, 38 points to LSU, 41 points to Alabama, and the 38 points to GA Tech (I’m not counting the pick-six) were all the result of the defense given poor field position? We let LSU’s QB throw for 300 yards on us, Alabama manhandled the team, Kentucky’s freshman QB ran wild on us with an option, and the defense seemed to forget how to tackle against GA Tech. Points allowed is not a meaningless stat. Passing yards is a meaningless stat. Typically when a team has a lot of passing yards, it is because they can’t run the ball or are playing from behind a lot. Just because the defense was given poor field position at times doesn’t mean they couldn’t force the other teams to kick a field goal.
The biggest thing with Willie’s scheme, which is the same thing we ran under Van Gorder (who’s defense is doing pretty well, I hear), is that it relies on pressure from the front four so the back seven can keep everything in front of them. When the front four fail to get pressure, as they did this year, QB’s have time to pick apart the D. Last year, Marcus Howard emerged as a pass rushing threat and the defense was stout. This year, no one stepped up and the defense was last in the SEC in QB sacks.
As I mentioned in my FanPost the other day, the thing that drove me bonkers was Willie’s inability to man up to what went on. To use a bad analogy, it was similar to hearing everyday from our President and Vice President that we were getting closer to the WMD’s in Iraq and then warping that into liberating the Iraqi people. I’m not trying to incite a political conversation, but after awhile you just want your leaders to take responsibility and have accountability for their actions and decisions. I didn’t see that with Willie this year and that’s what disappointed me the most with the 2008 Georgia Bulldogs. The players all seemed to step up and lay the blame at their feet, but Willie seemed to float in this bubble of denial.
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by AuditDawg on
Dec 31, 2008 2:20 PM EST
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manning up
I completely agree about Martinez’s inability to acknowledge reality, and I feel the same way about Richt (and I know to some that’s sacrilege)…
by Sparrow on
Dec 31, 2008 3:52 PM EST
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Started the season ranked #1 and you're in the Capital One bowl
That has to be disappointing. Maybe drink 5!
I blog the Carolina Panthers at www.catscratchreader.com
by Jaxon on
Dec 31, 2008 2:37 PM EST
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Your team went 9-3 and beat us for the first time in 8 years and your team is making rings to commemorate the season.
Our team went 9-3 and is playing in arguably the best non-BCS bowl and we are miserable about the way our season finished.
I think we’ll be just fine.
by get swoll yunel on
Dec 31, 2008 5:15 PM EST
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