To all those that think we're better off without Stafford
215 completions on 352 attempts for a 61.1% completion rate. 3,209 yards through 12 games for an average of 267.4/game, 9.12/attempt, and 14.9/completion. 22 TD's to only 9 INT's for a 2.4 TD/INT Ratio. An overall passer rating of 153.17 which places him 15th out of 119 passers, behind only Tim Tebow in the SEC.
Asides from the quantitative measures I mentioned above, have you guys seen the games he's kept us in this year? He played most of the second half of Alabama after getting his bell rung pretty good and helped make the score a little more respectable. He was the only player on the offense making plays in the South Carolina game. He was nearly flawless at Kentucky, at Arizona State, and against Georgia Tech. If he doesn't have the games he had at Kentucky or GA Tech, we get blown out of the water. He made huge throws in the LSU game. Dude is 20-5 the last two years, same as Tim Tebow.
My question to what seems like a growing faction of the Bulldawg Nation; Do you honestly believe yourself when you say we'll be better off next year without Matthew Stafford lining up behind center? That production is pretty difficult to replace (keep in mind he's done this behind one of the greenest and thinnest O-Lines I've ever seen). Imagine what next year could be like playing behind an offensive line that is more mature and stronger. I don't think we'll see it as the $$$ are pretty hard to pass up, but Stafford is Damn Good Dawg and anyone who thinks otherwise, please prove me wrong. Sure, he makes the mind-boggling throw every now and then, but tell me what QB doesn't that isn't Tim Tebow or Sam Bradford. Keep in mind the O-line issues when comparing those three. Of the Oklahoma games I've watched this season I don't think I've seen Bradford get touched and Tebow has a more than adequate line. Put those guys behind UGA's O-Line this year, and I have a sneaking suspicion their numbers wouldn't be so outrageous. His one bad game this year was Florida, but that was a case of him being the only player on the field that seemed to give a crap and tried to force things because no one else was.
Well, that's my story and I'm sticking to it. Stafford may never win an SEC or national title, but it's not like it's all his fault or our problems are going to be magically solved if he leaves. If anything, we're going to regress on the offensive side of the ball and have to rely on the defense even more next year. And we all know how I feel about that...
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I agree with your point, but
The reason we didn’t win an SEC/National title last year was a horrible day from Mr. Stafford versus South Carolina. If you can watch that game without finding at least 10 over/under thrown balls that were huge opportunities for scores, then you know, fine.
really?
So what about the perfect pass to Moore? the many drops by Trip the “flip” Chandler?, The fact that he was running for his life the entire game behind 3 freshman OL, Bobo’s inability that year to want to run the ball at the Red Zone, Tony Wilson dropping a ball that was thrown so well it him him in the face mask..yeah Stafford Missed Moreno..but he got alot more passes DROPPED than he missed. It takes a team to lose games, not one guy. We never built a team around Stafford, he just got WR’s that anyone feared this year, never had a TE threat who would catch the ball, he’s never had a stable OL to protect him and 1/3 yrs he had no defense or special teams to speak of. So tell me, why is it his fault? Go look at the stat sheet, he’s done just as well vs high level competition as David Greene has, he just hasnt had the benefit of a defense that held teams to 17 pts. Next year would be equivalent to Greene’s 4th year, and I think Stafford would beat his 20 td/5 int ratio.
I think UGA is better off with a David Green type
Green wasn’t a stat monster and he didn’t put fear in the eyes of the opposition. But what he did do is cost you games with poor play. He was a solid player and leader and kept you in games so your strong defense and running backs could win you the game.
If Moreno stays, then the new QB just has to hand it off to Knoshawn and then toss it up and let Green go get it.
Funny you should say that
I always thought UF was better off with a Chris Leak type.
/sarcasm
Seriously, I think I get what you’re saying. But I don’t see why someone who isn’t a “stat monster” should be better suited for our team. Game managers are great, but being a game manager and an impact player aren’t mutually exclusive.
While we certainly won’t be better off without Stafford by any stretch of the imagination, we’ll certainly be in a better position in 2009 than we were in 2006. Joe Cox isn’t going to put up Stafford numbers, but he should be able to at least preform the managerial function skigator describes. And I can’t fathom the coaches putting in Logan Gray at punt returner this year and yet not being willing to put him in as a change of pace QB at least occasionally if Cox gets the starting nod.
Also, AuditDawg, the flipside of your argument about the O-line is that it will certainly see improvement next year (unless Providence sees fit to smite two starting left tackles in a row for the second consecutive year . . . in that case I might start thinking about following a team whom God less obviously has it in for). So while we will certainly lose production from behind center, increased production on the line will give our less talented QBs chances to make plays. Likewise, better O-line performance means a more consistent run game and less times when the QB will have to throw us out of bad situations (yes, losing KM will hurt our run production as well, but even he wasn’t able to make much headway against Bama or UF, which dumped everything on Staff).
On the whole, though, I do agree. Rag on him all you want, he’s a DGD in my book.
Cox
As a Gator fan, he worries me more than Stafford. Homeboy scores when he has the ball in his hands. Watch out.
Orange and Blue Hue: The World through GATOR-colored Glasses -- http://www.orangeandbluehue.com
You might want to actually check the stats before you talk
This year is compared to Greene’s Sophomore year and Stafford’s is BETTER. Stafford has done more in less time than Greene, he just didn’t have a defense to back him up. Tell me how many games we win if our defense holds the opponent to 17 in the past 3 years? You guys want to blame Stafford and look at Tebow, but Tebow has a well built team around him and Stafford never did.
Tebow proves my point
Last year we had a horrendous defense (mainly because of youth – which I think is much of UGA’s problem this year). We also had no real running back. Therefore, Tebow had to try to do everything. His resulting stats were unworldly. However, the team lost 4 games. Contrast that to this season. Tebow now has an outstanding defense as well as 3 solid running backs to rely on. The end result? Stats are way down for Tebow, but victories are way up for the Gators.
hmm, I think its more than that.
Your defense is more stout, the special teams is ridiculous and the entire team is hungry. The chemistry is just “there” every game. It’s more than Tebow just having to manage the game, it’s the team that has been built around him finally coming together as a unit imo. Tebow is one of the best college players Ive ever seen, he’s a great student athelete, young man and player but he also has one of the best ensembles around him Ive ever seen as well.
Are you saying that . . .
. . . “Stat monsters” tend to drag their team down when carrying the team on their shoulders, but when surrounded by a a competent defense, a solid running game and momentum-shifting special teams, they thrive?
’Cause, I mean, I would agree with that.
If Stafford came back and had even two of those three next year (only our run game preformed with any consistency this season, mostly on the shoulders of KRM, and when the o-line couldn’t run-block even he couldn’t make much headway), we’d be looking at an SEC championship run.
No, seriously. I mean, for real this time. Really. Yeah . . .
Tebow also proves my point
Next year, Stafford’s numbers may be the same or less. If our defense improves as much from 2008 to 2009 as Florida’s did from 2007 to 2008, similar results could happen (i.e. increase in victories). I just hate that people are trying to lay blame at Stafford’s feet this year when the losses other than Florida weren’t the offense’s fault. The defense and ST’s sucked it up big time this year. I just don’t buy the stats going down automatically equals wins. You said it yourself “Last year we had a horrendous defense (mainly because of youth – which I think is much of UGA’s problem this year).” If Tebow’s stats were similar to last year then Florida would be beating teams by 50 points instead of 30. Just because his “unworldly” stats went down didn’t equal victories for the Gators. A very good defense with a very good offense did.
http://hobnailboot.blogspot.com/
No argument there
and I don’t blame Stafford for your losses, I just think that you won’t miss him as much as some think.
Me neither.
He may be the greatest NFL prospect EVAR-OMG! But he is nothing more than an average to above-average college quarterback. Georgia will not be significantly better or worse next year regardless of whether he returns or not. None of us have seen too much of Joe Cox — from what we have seen, clearly he doesn’t have all the physical tools of Stafford — but he is a gamer, a true competitor and he can lift his team. I haven’t seen Stafford do that. Look out for Cox, I think he might surprise a lot of people next year.
Orange and Blue Hue: The World through GATOR-colored Glasses -- http://www.orangeandbluehue.com
Stafford and MoMass
Played lights out against Tech this year. Unfortunately, the defense didn’t follow in suit.
Good point....
skigator. I think that everyone knew that if you stopped Tebow last year then you could beat UF. This year there were so many options that you couldn’t key on just one thing.
As far as Stafford goes, I wish we would get the opportunity to see him play behind an experienced line and a decent (not even good) defense. Unfortunately I think that “with the first pick in the 2009 NFL draft the Detroit Lions select Matthew Stafford QB University of Georgia.” is more likely.
Stafford reminds me quite a bit of Rex Grossman (college Rexy, anyhow) – physical specimen, cannon arm, very accurate, never met a double coverage he wasn’t confident of beating. With the proper supporting cast a player like that can win it all, so long as the inevitable game when every gamble goes wrong comes against the right opponent. That’s when the running game and defence and special teams really earn their scholarships. And that’s when you start to wonder if maybe a ‘game-manager’ would be better after all… until you remember that a game-manager makes the rest of the team earn their scholarships every week.
Really, I don’t think there’s a universally right answer, but my inclination is closer to AuditDawg than skigator – I’d rather a Stafford than a Green. (Or, as delighted as I was to see Chris win a title, a Grossman than a Leak; despite his retrospective reputation, Leak was usually good for one absolutely bone-headed play per game.)
Partially agreed
I agree with the Rex comparison. I never felt comfortable with him slinging it around back there.
He would throw a pick and appear to not even be phased….come right back in and throw 2 more picks!
I think stat monsters can help the right team – see Colt McCoy. He doesn’t have a lot of talent around him, so he has to do it all himself.
I think John Parker Wilson is a good comparison to David Green. He isn’t going to beat you himself, but he is consistently solid, manages the game and when he has to throw – he knows to toss it in the direction of Julio. He also has the other aspects around him that wwcmrd mentions above, therefore resulting in great success for Alabama this season.
I think next season, UGA will have the support around their new QB (assuming Stafford is “thrown to the Lions” so to speak). The OL will benefit next season from this year’s terrible string of injuries – you will have tons of guys with experience. Also, the defense will improve – youngsters grow up and get better with good coaching. We know you will have a spectacular receiver and whether or not Knowshon returns (I think he will), UGA is still tailback U. and will someone solid to tote the rock. In my opinion, a decent QB who doesn’t make a lot of mistakes will result in a very good season for the Dawgs in ’09.
David Greene was far more consistent than John Parker Wilson ever was, this year for JPW not withstanding. And David Greene was certainly capable of beating a team himself; read the Georgia Tech game in 2004, when he came off the bench after breaking his thumb to lead us to a victory.
by The ArchDawg on Dec 11, 2008 12:47 PM EST up reply actions
Joe Cox may turn out to be the type you're describing here . . .
. . . But it’s not as if he’s never beat a team himself
That was a fantastic day for Cox
Are you sure he’ll be the starter next season and not one of your big recruits?
The defense and Reggie Ball helped, sure,
but Shockley didn’t play too well, thus David Greene having to come back in during the fourth quarter and lead us to a score.
by The ArchDawg on Dec 11, 2008 8:27 PM EST up reply actions
My theory
Would you rather have a better QB making a pass than a less-good QB? Of course.
But when you have someone in there like Stafford, the coaches want to use his “talent” and call 40+ pass plays, despite Knowshon in the backfield. Maybe it’s also a function of having ex-QBs at OC and Head Coach, but I’d rather have a game manager in there throwing 15-20 passes and letting the run game do the real work.
You can talk “What if he had a better defense?” all you want, but can you honestly say that the 3 picks vs. Florida didn’t do as much harm to our defense/motivation as anything? The most reliable method to winning games is run the ball a lot and don’t let your QB screw things up.
How exactly was Knowshon not utilized this year??
He did lead the SEC in rushing at 1,338 yards which comes out to 111.5/game. That is good enough for 17th best in the country. He also rushed for 16 TD’s this year. I think that punches a hole in your argument about utilizing Knowshon more, because he seems to be doing just fine despite having a Stafford versus a Joe Cox in the backfield with him. Knowshon averaged 18.92 carries per game which is a good number, IMO.
On the other hand, Stafford averaged 29.3 attempts per game and led the SEC in passing at 267.4/game. That’s good enough to place him 15th in the country without playing in one of those offenses where you’re going to throw the ball 55 times a game (cough *Texas Tech cough).
The biggest thing to me is looking at the games he’s won by himself versus the games he’s lost by himself. I suppose you could pin his three picks for the reason the loss to Florida happened. I’m willing to give the kid a pass for one game. That’s the only I can remember where his efforts might have been the biggest culprit to the loss. Quote South Carolina in 2007 to me if you want, but as someone posted above, Tripp Chandler dropped some key passes and Tony Wilson got hit in the chest on a perfect pass that would have scored the game-winning TD. Without Stafford this year, we don’t win at Kentucky and we lose by 30 points to GA Tech.
I guess in the end it comes down to personal preference, but I think you can’t replace a Matt Stafford. As I said in my post, if anything the offense is going to regress next year. I really want to emphasize my point that maybe Stafford’s boneheaded throws have something to do with a less than stellar line. I honestly believe if he were playing behind Oklahoma’s line, he’d be throwing for 400 yards a game, because nobody would touch him. Many of his bad throws are hurried and on the run because of a breakdown of protection.
http://hobnailboot.blogspot.com/
Oklahoma's line
We’ll see how great they are on Jan. 8th. As far as I can see, they are yet untested.
Re:
skigator: Cox starting would be the best-case scenario. He’s certainly got the advantage over JTIII in ‘06 in that he was recruited to be a starter rather than just a backup. If we play one of our big recruits, I hope it’s because it’s because they genuinely preform well, rather than because of injury/lack of prodcution from our experienced QBs. With Staff’s experience in 06 mind, best case scenario imo is to have both Murray and Mettenberger take redshirts their first year. But we’ll have to see.
Auditdawg: I don’t disagree with you, not really. I do think we’ll see a drop in offensive production without Staff next year. But I don’t think it’ll be as drastic as you make it out to be. Your argument about the o-line works both ways. If an improved O-line could make Staff a Heisman contender, then it could certainly make a less talented QB like Joe Cox or Logan Gray preform better as well. And remember, Staff’s talent has been astounding, but his decision making and overconfidence have gotten the better of him, even in games we’ve won. Another QB may not be able to make the huge deep balls and bullet throws, but smarter decision may serve us just as well.
Stafford
Up until this season I had been a Stafford-criticizer. I really didn’t see him living up to the hype. However, he has improved each year and is finally showing more of the ability that was hyped. Yes, he does make some head-scratching throws, but he has gotten better and has carried us in games.
As far as ‘09 is concerned, if we keep Moreno, I think we can lose Stafford, but I am not sure if we can lose both because King/Samuel didn’t really impress too much this year.
I'm not sure
if Stafford got better this season or if he simply got AJ Green to throw to.
I have nothing against the guy and wish him well.
Yes, but...
…was Stafford really that bad before this season, or did he just have a sub-par receiving corps? He might be responsible for the less-than-spectacular TD-to-INT ratio, but there’s a reason everyone in Dawg Nation is raving about Mo Massaquoi this year: our receivers weren’t exactly sparkling the last two seasons.
Definitely
His numbers in 2006 were plagued by drops, particularly the Ole Miss game that year.
http://hobnailboot.blogspot.com/
The better with, better without argument has been played here but...
I do wish he could have completed a few more of the 40+ yd. pass attempts. I know the OL affects this but, come on, it seemed like (and I don’t need to do the research for support because I know you guys will) he connected on a very small percentage of those this year.
What do you guys think? Was it the line, was it trying to do too much or was it a flaw in the design?
BTW, I’m watching the game on the outside TV (small and anti HD) because the first time RInger breaks (and I use the term breaks lightly) 6 tackles for a 90 yd TD I’m going to come through the TV set. I’ve had numerous people over for UGA games and they all swear that the players can hear me, or at least feel me. So if someone comes flying out of nowhere with a beer in his hand to tackle him on the 10 yd line, you’ll know it’s me. Or if you never hear from me again, you’ll know I tried…..
Agreed.
The only time I cringed when Stafford was on the field this year was whenever he threw the bomb. I don’t know the reasons, and I don’t know the percentages, but if he connected on more than two this year, I’d be surprised. It seemed like he could throw 30-yard darts and hit ’em every time, but when he threw the bomb, nothing good was going to happen.
No One knows
Im not so worried that Stafford may go or not go, I think he will go besides that Joe Cox is very capable of filling in his shoes. He may not have the arm but he’s alittle more mobile than Stafford but Cox would do whats expected of him. I heard ESPN say that Stafford would be a projected #3 pick and based on that i think he would go rather than risk injury. Moreno will probably go as well and thats fine, we have lots of other talented running backs that will pickup where he left off. My biggest worry is Defense and im afraid Michigan State will do us like Ga. Tech did. Best of luck to Stafford and Moreno.
Why Stafford shouldn't go
Wetzel is a putz, but he paints a picture that I wouldn’t want to be a part of:
http://sports.yahoo.com/nfl/news?slug=dw-embarrassingdetroit122108&prov=yhoo&type=lgns
I wouldn’t care if the rookie cap is going to mean a pay cut, as long I didn’t end up in Detroit. There is absolutely no hope for that team. Why would you want to be a tackling dummy for 4-5 years and hope that you are still healthy enough to get traded to a decent team?
Agreed
That is a heck of a lot of money to turn down, but look what it’s done to several promising QB’s. I’d argue Joey Harrington and David Carr wouldn’t have turned out to be the colossal busts they were if they’d played on half decent teams. You get sacked as many times as Carr did his first few years and after a while you just become gunshy and more concerned about getting hit rather than just playing the game. Once again, that’s a lot of money to turn down though.
http://hobnailboot.blogspot.com/
Here's why he should go
It isn’t like Detroit is going to turn it around next season. The odds are, they will again have the top pick in 2010. So would you rather play for the Lions for more money, or play for the Lions next year for less money?!?!?!
Let’s say best case, the Lions win a few games next season and DONT get the first pick. Then you get to play in Cincy for less money. Boy….the opportunities!!!
Fair point
But if Detroit takes a high profile QB- something they need- then they are less likely to do it again next year. I don’t keep up with the NFL, especially now since I am in Asia, but isn’t Palmer still with Cincy?
Yes, he is likely to end up with a bad team either way, but it is one thing to end up on a bad team and another to end up in a bad program that has shown almost no ability to rescue itself.
Good point
I didn’t think about that – probably because I just assumed that the Lions were going to draft yet another high profile WR!!!
Palmer is still with Cincy, but he missed almost the entire season with an elbow injury. He put off surgery hoping that it would magically heal on its own, but I guess now he’ll go under the knife and just lose the 11 weeks of recovery time he could have had. I would think Cincy might want to think about their next QB pick too!
I think playing for Detriot has to be the worst lot ever. Imagine how unbelievable Barry Sanders would have been elsewhere?
Stafford is not going to Cincy
Carson Palmer signed a giant contract two seasons ago- 8-10 years for a large sum of cash. Palmer and the Bengals are stuck with each other. Despite the fact that the Bengals have been terrible, Palmer, when healthy has put up good numbers. The Natti needs to draft an offensive lineman like Andre Smith or Michael Oher.
Palmer
If he has to undergo Tommy John surgery in the offseason, it doesn’t matter how long his contract is for.
Regardless, the first QB taken in the draft almost invariably goes to a terrible team.

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