Here's What's Worrying Me . . .
Admittedly, a lot of different things worry me. I worry about the health and safety of my family. I worry about the viability of our economy. I worry that President Bush will decide that the whole darned country needs to be picked up and moved because of global warming.
But as much as anything, I wake up at 2:45 in the morning and worry about football. Especially before the Auburn game. Year after year it's the one game in which we generally do something stupid we haven't done before (make Ben Leard look like Joe Flippin' Montana) or do something we haven't done before (It's a bird! It's a plane! It's Tra Battle not giving up a 1st down on 4th and 23 because of intercranial bruising!).
And while it is a totally futile gesture on my part, I still worry about the whole thing. This is exacerbated by the fact that we play Auburn during that part of the season in which the season's success is generally defined. This year is no different. Win against Auburn and Tech and we finish 10-2, likely going to the Capitol One Bowl against either Ohio State, Penn State or Michigan State. Lose to Auburn or Tech (or Heaven forbid, both) and we may be looking at the Independence Bowl. No sir, no reason to worry about these last two at all . . .
Now, you might think that I would have a hard time finding people and things to worry about on a 5-5 Auburn squad that just got through pulling away from the Tennessee-Martin Skyhawks for a 37-20 victory to snap a four game losing streak. You'd be wrong. Auburn week brings to the surface a guy who Larry Munson would urge to look on the sunny side. In particular, I'm worried about . . .
Kodi Burns. As best I can tell, he's Randall Cobb with more experience is his offense and a better arm. And possibly more athletic out of the pocket. Did I mention he had almost 300 all-purpose yards in that game against Tennessee-Martin? The Skyhawks are not exactly the '85 Bears, but that's a sign of improvement for an Auburn offense that passed "anemic" in the third week of the season and vaulted around "convoluted" at the midway point when they fired Tony Franklin.
The Auburn offense in general. I predicted before the season that Auburn would have the spread clicking just in time for us after some early struggles. I may have been a bit low and outside on that one. Instead, I'm now concerned that Auburn is getting their spread-lite offense together in time for us. I'm just waiting for Tuberville and Hugh Nall to recognize that our defensive line couldn't stop Ben Tate on 3rd and 2 if you gave them 4 chainsaws and a barrell of napalm. I fear that Auburn's coaches began to cobble together an offensive plan last week, and we'll be the guinea pigs for its coming out party.
Matt Stafford. I'm wondering if he can put together two performances of that caliber in a row. So far this season he's either been on, or had communication or accuracy issues. I think it may all be coming together, and it will have to, because Auburn is not going to let Knowshon Moreno beat them if they can help it. Which brings me to my fourth concern . . .
The Auburn defensive front. Tuberville sat three of his front four against UT-Martin to get them healed and rested for us. That was so kind of him. I'm not sure who's starting at right tackle in place of Justin Anderson, who was finally starting to look like the light had come on. I think it's either Josh Davis or the Easter Bunny. Either way, I'm worried.
Tommy Trott. The Auburn tight end is averaging a shade under 4 catches and 33 yards a game in the War Iggles last three games. The 'Dawgs have shown an inability all season to cover gifted pass catching tight ends. If there is any equity in the universe, South Carolina's Jared Cook will pay our linebackers 1% of his NFL signing bonus. Because we (along with LSU and Ole Miss) helped get that kid paid. Anyway, in my nightmare Trott will be good for 2-3 passes in the flats which our defense will mysteriously decline to cover, despite the fact that Trott may be Auburn's best option in the passing game.
There are, of course, a variety of other things that are giving me the butterflies this week, but I'll sit on those until Cocktail Thursday and the Friday Five Things (now, no longer relying on craptacular hotel internet access!). Until later . . .
Go 'Dawgs!!!
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Disagree re: Kodi Burns
I didn’t watch the UGA/UK game (or much of it anyways) and have not kept up with Kentucky at all this season, but I’d find it hard to believe that Kodi is “Randall Cobb with more experience in his offense.” Kodi does have a great arm, but he’s on his third OC in two years on the Plains. His throwing mechanics are awful, he has a tendency of missing the receiver completely, and his high offensive numbers the last two weeks are kind of a mirage. What I mean is that he threw for over 300 against Ole Miss, but most of that was on big plays to the receivers down the sideline, who actually decided to go after and catch a ball for once, and he also had three interceptions; he also ran for 150 or so against UTM, but alot of that was on a few big running plays, and it was against a lower-level defense. If I were you I’d worry much more about his legs than his arm, and I would stack the box and make him prove he can beat you through the air. He’s got good speed, but he tries to juke too much instead of just running down the field.
War Damn Eagle!
by PowerOfDixieland on Nov 12, 2008 11:42 AM EST reply actions
PowerOfDixieland . . .
It is his legs that worry me. If you guys run the option, I feel confident offering you 4.5 yards a snap as an over/under. Kentucky made us look ridiculous simply by putting a helmet on a helmet and pitching to the tailback.
Our defense is in serious disarray right now. The players say it’s them, not the coaches and had a closed door meeting about it yesterday. I think we either come out gangbusters and take ov er the momentum on defense, or sag through the thing giving up yards in chunks the way we have for the better part of a month now. My only solace is the fact that if we can get to 40 we may win. Of course, this being Auburn week, I’ll probably be equally optimistic this time tomorrow. It is truly the one game of the season in which nothing that went before is of even the slightest significance.
Worried About Naught
There’s absolutely no reason for us to assume that the Germans are mounting a major offensive. The weather is awful. Their supplies are low. The German army hasn’t mounted a winter attack since Frederick the Great. Therefore I believe that’s exactly what they’re going to do. George S. Patton
Only in the movies, my friend, only in the movies. Wait. That was history, right?
by War Eagle Atlanta on Nov 12, 2008 1:14 PM EST reply actions
For UGA fans worried about the Auburn game...
See the Bama-LSU game, or UGA-LSU game for examples in which the teams are pretty well matched in talent starter for starter except Team A has a 3rd year starting QB, and Team B has a young QB who throws lots of INTs in SEC games.
Fear not, for Kodi Burns is a young QB who throws lots of INTs in SEC games and UGA is team A.
In principle, that's a good theory . . .
. . . but here are some other good theories that work most of the time, even in rivalry games:
1. Between teams that otherwise are equal, the home team will win more often than not.
2. Between teams that come into the game with dramatically different won-lost records despite facing substantially similar schedules, the team with the markedly better record will win more often than not.
Those principles are good ways to bet . . . but they simply don’t apply in the Georgia-Auburn rivalry, where the road team wins more often than not and the lower-ranked team wins more often than not.
All bets are off when these two teams meet. Nothing in the first eleven weeks of the season has the slightest relevance to what happens on Saturday.
Go 'Dawgs!
Very little to worry about
Kodi is getting better, but he is not ready for the speed of SEC players. UGA’s defensive line is beat up, but our O line has not been its normal self. The only man who can catch a pass is Trott, and that has just started the last three weeks. Expect a lot of Brad Lester up the middle and Ben Tate off tackle. Mix a Kodi spread draw in there and you have it. Unless Stafford has a terrible day in the TO department, UGA should be fine.
We just cannot score. It seems that we have more three and outs than any school in the SEC and that includes Miss St and UT. We have to have special teams and defensive TDs.
If you are a War Damn Eagle, you can War Damn anything.

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