Georgia Bulldogs 24, Vanderbilt Commodores 14
I expect a repeat of the Tennessee game, in which Georgia wins relatively narrowly on the scoreboard a contest which was not quite as even on the field as it appeared on the ESPN scroll. As long as the Bulldogs protect the football better than they did last Saturday, they should be able to keep the Commodores in check, although no one who is familiar with Vandy under Bobby Johnson believes the visitors will fold their tents and surrender.
Georgia needs to jump on the Commies early in the contest. Vandy’s stingy defense has given up just 98 points this season, but 57 of those were surrendered in the first quarter. The Bulldogs need to demonstrate their dominance from the outset. Otherwise, it will be a longer afternoon than it has to be for the home team on homecoming.
My Prediction: Georgia 24, Vanderbilt 14.
So I wrote on Friday afternoon, marking a rare instance of accurate forecasting on my part. (MaconDawg, by the way, nailed three of his five predictions, as well, so it was a good day here at Dawg Sports.)
That, by and large, was the size of it. Georgia led in first downs (25-14), total yards (425-245), passing yards (194-131), rushing yards (231-114), yards per pass (8.4-4.1), yards per rush (5.8-4.4), time of possession (32:26-27:34), and, as predicted, points (24-14). Although the turnovers were even---each quarterback threw two interceptions and neither squad lost a fumble---that was one of the phases of the game Vanderbilt consistently had been winning, so the Bulldogs did well to give the ball away only as often as they took it away . . . especially since there must have been literally half a dozen missed opportunities for the Red and Black to pick off Commodore passes.
Those were not the Classic City Canines’ only squandered chances, however. The ‘Dawgs did well by having to run only eight third down plays, but they moved the chains only on one of them. (Am I reading the stat sheet correctly? Can that be right?) Blair Walsh missed a pair of field goals, either of which would have kept the game out of doubt in the fourth quarter. While the penalties were down overall (5 for 47 yards) and one or two of them were arguable, a pair of pass interference penalties preserved the touchdown drive late in the second quarter that kept Vandy in the game.
Any game that doesn’t end in a 49-0 win with neither injuries nor penalties lends itself to second-guessing, but, with the next four Saturdays sending the Bulldogs to Baton Rouge, Jacksonville, Lexington, and Auburn, it’s hard to resist asking whether such an effort as this was good enough. Extenuating circumstances (injuries chief among them) have caused Georgia’s clear potential for greatness to emerge only intermittently, but the Red and Black are moving in the right direction.
Kickoff coverage, once a glaring weakness, is improving. The offensive line issues, while by no means eradicated, have been addressed to an extent you would have thought impossible had I told you in July that we would lose two starting left tackles by midseason. The fullback position has become a distinct strength.
Knowshon Rockwell Moreno earned 172 yards on 23 carries and was spelled capably by Caleb King (11 carries for 40 yards). A.J. Green had another stellar day (7 catches for 132 yards and a touchdown), including an outstanding first quarter. Matthew Stafford quietly threw for 194 yards and a couple of touchdowns.
It is quite true that the Bulldogs’ losses to season-ending injuries mandate that Georgia mix it up offensively, although the ‘Dawgs did a nice job of adjusting. Unable to run it up the gut against Tennessee, the Athenians used the toss sweep to good use; when the ‘Dores came prepared with a plan to neutralize that weapon, the Red and Black quickly adapted to take advantage of their newfound opportunities to run it between the tackles.
Tankertoad said it best when he noted during this afternoon’s comment thread that, last year, Mark Richt "did things to ‘amp up’ the team. Somehow, this year, he needs to do things to get the team ‘in the zone’, in sync, on the same page." Depending upon how one is inclined to view glasses in which the waterline is at the midpoint, this Georgia team is either a play or two away from greatness or a play or two away from mediocrity.
I tend to think that this Georgia team is an injury or six away from being the team we thought they would be, but, the breaks being what they have been and the realities being what they are, this fact remains: Georgia is 6-1 overall, 3-1 in the league, in first place in the S.E.C. East, and in a position to have the division crown come down to the winner-take-all showdown by the St. John’s River we all have expected since January.
Style points count in the polls, but not in the conference standings (and, not for nothing, but ESPN portrayed today’s win in a pretty positive light). A double-digit win over a ranked division rival is a good day’s work and I, for one, feel like a Bulldog this Saturday night.
Go ‘Dawgs!
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Comments
Well,
Was it good enough to beat Florida or LSU? Probably not, but they way LSU played against Florida and the way Florida played against Ole Miss wouldn’t be good enough to beat Georgia either. It all depends on which version of the teams shows up to play.
It seemed to me that Old Georgia (2007 pre-Florida win) played most of that game. They didn’t appear to have the same fire as they have shown over many of the past 12 or 13 games. Other than a couple of the deep balls and a couple of Moreno’s better runs, it was like the offense was going through the motions. It was a good thing the defense was so on the ball.
Overall it was like Georgia was playing not to lose rather than to win. It seemed that late in the third quarter Richt and/or Bobo decided to go very conservative and try to have the guys run out the clock instead of make plays to put it away. Maybe the boatloads of injuries forced them to call it like that, but it was very Old Georgia too.
If they come out and play like Old Georgia in Tiger Stadium, they will lose. Richt must find a way to rekindle the New Georgia spirit.
by Year2 on Oct 19, 2008 12:34 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I'm happy with the win
but the new clock rules put a premium on every single offensive possession. Aside from the opening drive of the third quarter, the rest of that stanza was one of the ugliest 3 or 4 possessions I have ever witnessed. This better get worked out. We threw a few picks, and Stafford is lucky he didn’t have a 3rd to their linebacker on the little screen that didn’t develop. We probably dropped 3 INT’s ourselves.
Having said that, Vanderbilt is a quality team with a good defense. Be it ever so ugly, a win is a win (is a win is a win…)
by DavetheDawg on Oct 19, 2008 2:39 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Yards to Points
I’ll take two solid wins over TN and Vandy. Heckuva lot better than last year. However, both games were strange in the disparity between yards and points. The TN game was pretty simple to explain, with two red zone turnovers and no turnovers by TN to give us any easy points. This game we had two more picks, but there is more that was slowing us down. Obviously, missing two makeable fg’s hurt our point total, but for the year I can’t complain about Walsh (glad he got the inevitable bad game out of his system (hopefully)).
One area where we seem to be struggling is the screen game. Over the past few games we’ve had several drives killed by bad screens, a couple of which were either an INT or almost an INT. We had a nice play to Chapas against TN, but overall we might want to dial back on the screens.
A second point is just keeping your big guns involved. After that first drive of the second half, which was awesome, there was very little of Knowshon and AJ for several series. I personally think that Richt used King to keep Knowshon fresh for the next two games, but against LSU and Florida, we’ve got to keep feeding our playmakers.
Another element that may be killing some drives is that we have no TE game. I think our fullbacks and 3+ wr sets are good enough to make up for this, but it’s weird to see a Richt team with just no TE in the passing game at all. One thing to do may be to spread the field more often with 3+ wr sets, although this will obvioulsy sacrifice something in the run game, but we might be more explosive offensively.
Anyone else have any ideas, because in many years of watching football, it is my experience that it is bizarre to only score 24 points when your starting tailback is averaging 7.5+ per carry. Usually this means that you are the physically superior team that is dominating the line of scrimmage and soon you will crush your opponent. We’ve got to find a way to turn the statistical dominance into more points.
by VamoultrieDawg on Oct 19, 2008 8:48 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Two points:
1. My fear is that the most obvious explanation is the right one: Georgia simply has lost too many players to injury along the offensive line to be able to be either as explosive or as consistent as the talent at the skill positions ought to allow the Bulldogs to be. During the last two games, the ‘Dawgs moved the ball effectively between the 20s but bogged down in the red zone because an injury-depleted and reshuffled offensive line would not allow them simply to drive the pile and power their way into the end zone. Red zone interceptions only occur when you have to throw the ball inside the 20. Frankly, it looked disturbingly like the Eric Zeier era out there, with the difference being that this Bulldog team, unlike Zeier’s last two Bulldog teams, had a defense good enough to win the game.
2. Mike Bobo often calls a good game, but we are becoming what we became during Mark Richt’s last couple of years of calling the plays: predictable. Were you surprised by any of Saturday’s play-action passes or did you see every one of them coming? When you see that particular formation with three receivers split wide, are you ever caught off guard when we run Moreno to the left? Once again, some of the vanilla play calling may be attributable to the limitations imposed by injuries, but we rarely keep the opposition guessing. We’re talented enough to score in the mid-20s even against a good defense like Tennessee’s or an opportunistic defense like Vandy’s, but, against a team that is capable of scoring 30+ points on a weekly basis, there could be trouble.
Go 'Dawgs!
by T Kyle King on Oct 19, 2008 9:24 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Just don't outsmart yourself
Sometimes I feel like I can see the wheels turning in Bobo’s head as he convinces himself that giving the ball to one of our best players is not a good idea.
The beautiful drive that started the third quarter went something like this: 24, 24, 24, 8, 24, 24 TD. Slip in a heavy dose of 1 with the occasional 49 or 35 and there ya go. Keep it simple, and play to the player’s strengths (for example, let’s not throw 500 fades against LSU).
I’m hoping that the Vanilla approach against Vandy was because they’re saving something. As you suggest, however, it may be because they aren’t comfortable with much else.
by VamoultrieDawg on Oct 20, 2008 12:22 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Not impressed yet
Where are the preseason #1 Dawgs? I have yet to see a game in which this squad is overly impressive. Not that many other SEC teams have been beautiful in all their games either (LSU, Florida and Bama have all looked less-than-powerful in at least one game, although at least Bama survived them all). Stafford’s not going to get away with throwing an equal number of TDs to picks against LSU.
Orange and Blue Hue: The World through GATOR-colored Glasses -- http://www.orangeandbluehue.com
by Gatorpilot on Oct 20, 2008 8:43 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
The preseason No. 1 'Dawgs are in the training room
You don’t lose Trinton Sturdivant, Vince Vance, Jeff Owens, Dannell Ellerbe, et al., without taking an enormous hit.
Winning a national championship requires a combination of factors, including talent and coaching, but also including luck, particularly with regard to injuries. Georgia hasn’t been fortunate on the injury front, which is why a potentially great Red and Black squad has appeared merely good.
You’re right about the interceptions, though. The performances of the last two weekends will not get it done the next two weekends.
Go 'Dawgs!
by T Kyle King on Oct 20, 2008 9:20 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Injuries
Let’s try to say “depth” as opposed to “luck.” Everyone has their share of injuries, and UGA and UF have both certainly had far more than their fair share. I don’t think we use it as a crutch as much as you do though. I surely don’t think our loss to Ole Miss or our lousy play in other games at various times this season had much at all to do with injuries. We didn’t take care of the ball, we had some poor play calling and we had some defensive breakdowns.
Turnovers and failure to score TDs and settling for FGs will kill you in the big games. I think UGA stands an excellent chance to beat LSU this weekend. You should send CBS a letter of thanks for taking the game at 3:30, because it will be a whole lot easier to win in the Bayou during daylight.
As far as UGA’s offense, I agree with Vamoultrie 100%. Give the ball to Moreno…alot. Every once in a while, throw to Green – he’s a playmaker for sure. UGA always looks best when they need that one long sustaining drive late in the game. The reason is that is the only time you seem to run Knoshawn over and over and over. He gets stronger as the game goes on. I think running Caleb King only breaks Moreno’s rhythmn.
by skigator93 on Oct 20, 2008 3:18 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Injuries, revisited
Let’s try to say "experience" as opposed to "depth." Georgia’s depth is fine; it’s the live game experience many of the underclassmen lacked.
As for Florida not using injuries as a crutch, I’ll buy that when the Gator faithful quit their bellyaching about Percy Harvin being less than 100 per cent and (especially) about Tim Tebow’s bum shoulder against the Bulldogs last year.
However, I agree with you about Knowshon Rockwell Moreno. He’ll never be a 30-carry-a-game guy like Herschel, but he is the sort of back who gets stronger in the fourth quarter.
Go 'Dawgs!
by T Kyle King on Oct 20, 2008 4:55 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

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